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icon for Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？
政治·文化

Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？

icon for Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？
政治·文化

Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？

8月 1

9月 1

8月 1

9月 1

TWEET COUNT
0
剩余时间
TWEETS
0
剩余时间

80-99 45%

100-119 45%

140-159 45%

160-179 44%

Polymarket
最新

80-99 45%

100-119 45%

140-159 45%

160-179 44%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$60 交易量

2%

20-39

$10 交易量

1%

40-59

$10 交易量

1%

60-79

$10 交易量

1%

80-99

$7 交易量

45%

100-119

$7 交易量

45%

120-139

$7 交易量

43%

140-159

$7 交易量

45%

160-179

$7 交易量

44%

180-199

$7 交易量

44%

200-219

$7 交易量

46%

220-239

$7 交易量

47%

240-259

$7 交易量

47%

260-279

$7 交易量

46%

280-299

$7 交易量

45%

300-319

$7 交易量

46%

320-339

$7 交易量

46%

340-359

$7 交易量

43%

360-379

$7 交易量

45%

380-399

$7 交易量

45%

400-419

$7 交易量

46%

420-439

$7 交易量

47%

440-459

$7 交易量

45%

460-479

$7 交易量

45%

480-499

$7 交易量

45%

500-519

$7 交易量

46%

520-539

$7 交易量

47%

540-559

$7 交易量

45%

560-579

$7 交易量

46%

580-599

$7 交易量

47%

600-619

$7 交易量

46%

620-639

$7 交易量

47%

640-659

$7 交易量

45%

660-679

$7 交易量

46%

680-699

$7 交易量

45%

700-719

$7 交易量

47%

720-739

$7 交易量

45%

740-759

$7 交易量

44%

760-779

$7 交易量

45%

780-799

$7 交易量

43%

800-839

$7 交易量

43%

840-879

$7 交易量

43%

880-919

$7 交易量

43%

920-959

$7 交易量

46%

960-999

$7 交易量

43%

1000+

$7 交易量

43%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume sits in a tightly contested band because his posting cadence remains highly variable and responsive to real-time events rather than fixed schedules. Recent weeks show steady daily output mixing company updates from Tesla and SpaceX, policy commentary, and quick reactions, producing weekly totals that traders map across multiple overlapping ranges without a single dominant bin. Absent major product launches, earnings surprises, or political flashpoints in early August, market-implied odds cluster around 160–400 tweets as participants weigh historical patterns against the possibility of sudden spikes from viral moments or quiet periods. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how entertainment-style unpredictability—late-breaking news, platform engagement, or personal timing—keeps resolution wide open until the month unfolds.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$375
结束日期
2026-09-01
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

结算来源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume sits in a tightly contested band because his posting cadence remains highly variable and responsive to real-time events rather than fixed schedules. Recent weeks show steady daily output mixing company updates from Tesla and SpaceX, policy commentary, and quick reactions, producing weekly totals that traders map across multiple overlapping ranges without a single dominant bin. Absent major product launches, earnings surprises, or political flashpoints in early August, market-implied odds cluster around 160–400 tweets as participants weigh historical patterns against the possibility of sudden spikes from viral moments or quiet periods. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how entertainment-style unpredictability—late-breaking news, platform engagement, or personal timing—keeps resolution wide open until the month unfolds.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$375
结束日期
2026-09-01
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

结算来源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 46+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"220-239"，概率为 47%，其次是"240-259"，概率为 47%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 47¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 47%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jul 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 46+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？"的当前领先者是"220-239"，概率为 47%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 47%。紧随其后的结果是"240-259"，概率为 47%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。