HBO Max’s commanding 122 Emmy nominations, led by 25 for The Pitt and 24 for the final season of Hacks, anchor trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of securing the most wins at the September 14 Primetime ceremony. These totals, announced July 8, historically forecast platform leadership and outpace Netflix’s 111 nods and Apple TV’s record 87–89, keeping the latter at 14.5% and 11% respectively. Strong critical momentum for HBO Max series in drama and comedy categories, combined with final voting concluding in late August, reinforces the market’s heavy weighting toward the frontrunner while leaving limited room for late swings from competitors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哪个流媒体服务将赢得最多的艾美奖?
HBO Max 76%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 10.8%
Hulu <1%
$76,070 交易量
$76,070 交易量

HBO Max
76%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
11%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
HBO Max 76%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 10.8%
Hulu <1%
$76,070 交易量
$76,070 交易量

HBO Max
76%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
11%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
HBO Max’s commanding 122 Emmy nominations, led by 25 for The Pitt and 24 for the final season of Hacks, anchor trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of securing the most wins at the September 14 Primetime ceremony. These totals, announced July 8, historically forecast platform leadership and outpace Netflix’s 111 nods and Apple TV’s record 87–89, keeping the latter at 14.5% and 11% respectively. Strong critical momentum for HBO Max series in drama and comedy categories, combined with final voting concluding in late August, reinforces the market’s heavy weighting toward the frontrunner while leaving limited room for late swings from competitors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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