**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** dominates trader sentiment in the Outstanding Variety Series market at a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its status as the final season of a long-running late-night staple that earned a record nine nominations overall before ending in May. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single “area” award—where nominees can win independently via a 90% yes threshold or the highest percentage—has amplified sympathy for Colbert’s send-off amid industry support and peer campaigns. **Last Week Tonight With John Oliver** (7.4%) and the others trail due to less emotional momentum, though Oliver’s prior wins and critical consistency keep it in contention ahead of the Sept. 14 ceremony, with final voting wrapping Aug. 26.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 78%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 6.5%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.3%
《周六夜现场》 3.0%
$90,469 交易量
$90,469 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
78%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
6%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
4%
《周六夜现场》
7%
《每日秀》
2%
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 78%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 6.5%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.3%
《周六夜现场》 3.0%
$90,469 交易量
$90,469 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
$30,793 交易量
78%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
$17,140 交易量
6%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
$21,634 交易量
4%
《周六夜现场》
$10,355 交易量
7%
《每日秀》
$10,547 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** dominates trader sentiment in the Outstanding Variety Series market at a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its status as the final season of a long-running late-night staple that earned a record nine nominations overall before ending in May. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single “area” award—where nominees can win independently via a 90% yes threshold or the highest percentage—has amplified sympathy for Colbert’s send-off amid industry support and peer campaigns. **Last Week Tonight With John Oliver** (7.4%) and the others trail due to less emotional momentum, though Oliver’s prior wins and critical consistency keep it in contention ahead of the Sept. 14 ceremony, with final voting wrapping Aug. 26.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$90,469结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** dominates trader sentiment in the Outstanding Variety Series market at a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its status as the final season of a long-running late-night staple that earned a record nine nominations overall before ending in May. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single “area” award—where nominees can win independently via a 90% yes threshold or the highest percentage—has amplified sympathy for Colbert’s send-off amid industry support and peer campaigns. **Last Week Tonight With John Oliver** (7.4%) and the others trail due to less emotional momentum, though Oliver’s prior wins and critical consistency keep it in contention ahead of the Sept. 14 ceremony, with final voting wrapping Aug. 26.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$90,469结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** dominates trader sentiment in the Outstanding Variety Series market at a 77.5% implied probability, driven by its status as the final season of a long-running late-night staple that earned a record nine nominations overall before ending in May. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single “area” award—where nominees can win independently via a 90% yes threshold or the highest percentage—has amplified sympathy for Colbert’s send-off amid industry support and peer campaigns. **Last Week Tonight With John Oliver** (7.4%) and the others trail due to less emotional momentum, though Oliver’s prior wins and critical consistency keep it in contention ahead of the Sept. 14 ceremony, with final voting wrapping Aug. 26.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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