**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 86% implied probability stems primarily from its final-season narrative and record nine Emmy nominations announced in July 2026.** The CBS program, which concluded its 11-year run in May after a network cancellation, earned nods across variety series, writing, directing, and technical categories—its strongest showing ever—fueling industry sympathy and momentum heading into final-round voting that closed August 26. Voters appear to view the entry as a fitting send-off for a perennial contender that secured the prior year’s talk series trophy. In contrast, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (7.1%), Jimmy Kimmel Live! (5.0%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (1.8%) trail despite strong critical pedigrees and consistent guild recognition, as the unified category and area-award format favor the clearest sentimental and statistical frontrunner. The Primetime Emmys air September 14 on NBC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 86%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 7.2%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.9%
《周六夜现场》 2.6%
$93,139 交易量
$93,139 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
86%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
7%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
5%
《周六夜现场》
3%
《每日秀》
2%
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 86%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 7.2%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.9%
《周六夜现场》 2.6%
$93,139 交易量
$93,139 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
$31,402 交易量
86%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
$18,162 交易量
7%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
$22,490 交易量
5%
《周六夜现场》
$10,362 交易量
3%
《每日秀》
$10,724 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 86% implied probability stems primarily from its final-season narrative and record nine Emmy nominations announced in July 2026.** The CBS program, which concluded its 11-year run in May after a network cancellation, earned nods across variety series, writing, directing, and technical categories—its strongest showing ever—fueling industry sympathy and momentum heading into final-round voting that closed August 26.
Voters appear to view the entry as a fitting send-off for a perennial contender that secured the prior year’s talk series trophy. In contrast, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (7.1%), Jimmy Kimmel Live! (5.0%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (1.8%) trail despite strong critical pedigrees and consistent guild recognition, as the unified category and area-award format favor the clearest sentimental and statistical frontrunner. The Primetime Emmys air September 14 on NBC.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$93,139结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 86% implied probability stems primarily from its final-season narrative and record nine Emmy nominations announced in July 2026.** The CBS program, which concluded its 11-year run in May after a network cancellation, earned nods across variety series, writing, directing, and technical categories—its strongest showing ever—fueling industry sympathy and momentum heading into final-round voting that closed August 26.
Voters appear to view the entry as a fitting send-off for a perennial contender that secured the prior year’s talk series trophy. In contrast, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (7.1%), Jimmy Kimmel Live! (5.0%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (1.8%) trail despite strong critical pedigrees and consistent guild recognition, as the unified category and area-award format favor the clearest sentimental and statistical frontrunner. The Primetime Emmys air September 14 on NBC.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$93,139结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 86% implied probability stems primarily from its final-season narrative and record nine Emmy nominations announced in July 2026.** The CBS program, which concluded its 11-year run in May after a network cancellation, earned nods across variety series, writing, directing, and technical categories—its strongest showing ever—fueling industry sympathy and momentum heading into final-round voting that closed August 26. Voters appear to view the entry as a fitting send-off for a perennial contender that secured the prior year’s talk series trophy. In contrast, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (7.1%), Jimmy Kimmel Live! (5.0%), Saturday Night Live (2.5%), and The Daily Show (1.8%) trail despite strong critical pedigrees and consistent guild recognition, as the unified category and area-award format favor the clearest sentimental and statistical frontrunner. The Primetime Emmys air September 14 on NBC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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