Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列杰出客串演员
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列杰出客串演员
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》 99.7%
科尔曼·多明戈——《亢奋》 <1%
杰夫·希勒——《Pluribus》 <1%
乔纳森·普赖斯 –《缓刑马》 <1%
$94,358 交易量
$94,358 交易量
2026-09-14
科尔曼·多明戈——《亢奋》
否
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》
是
杰夫·希勒——《Pluribus》
否
杰夫·科伯——《皮特》
否
乔纳森·普赖斯 –《缓刑马》
否
布拉德利·惠特福德 – 《外交官》
否
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》 99.7%
科尔曼·多明戈——《亢奋》 <1%
杰夫·希勒——《Pluribus》 <1%
乔纳森·普赖斯 –《缓刑马》 <1%
$94,358 交易量
$94,358 交易量
2026-09-14
科尔曼·多明戈——《亢奋》
$46,261 交易量
否
Ernest Harden Jr. –《皮特》
$19,815 交易量
是
杰夫·希勒——《Pluribus》
$5,602 交易量
否
杰夫·科伯——《皮特》
$7,117 交易量
否
乔纳森·普赖斯 –《缓刑马》
$4,441 交易量
否
布拉德利·惠特福德 – 《外交官》
$11,122 交易量
否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$94,358结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$94,358结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Ernest Harden Jr.’s decisive win at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys for his portrayal of recurring alcoholic patient Louie Cloverfield on The Pitt anchors the near-certain market consensus. The HBO Max medical drama earned 25 total nominations and swept multiple acting categories, building on its prior-season success and strong guild and critic momentum that translated into voter support for Harden’s first nomination. His emotional arc as a “frequent flyer” ER patient resonated amid the show’s realistic ensemble storytelling, outpacing higher-profile competitors like Colman Domingo and Jonathan Pryce. While late shifts in academy voting or unexpected write-in campaigns could theoretically create upsets in guest categories, the confirmed result and The Pitt’s overall dominance leave little room for reversal ahead of the main September 14 telecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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