Shailene Woodley’s near-certain market dominance stems from her September 6 victory for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys, where she earned her first Emmy for a standout guest arc as Annie on Hulu’s Paradise. Her emotionally resonant performance in key episodes, including “Graceland,” aligned with strong critical reception and the show’s broader awards momentum, outpacing nominees from The Pitt, Pluribus, and The Gilded Age. With the category already decided ahead of the September 14 Primetime ceremony, traders have priced in the outcome at 99.8 percent implied probability. An upset would require an unprecedented reversal of the Creative Arts vote, which remains highly unlikely given the confirmed results and historical stability of these awards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列杰出客串女演员
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列杰出客串女演员
谢琳·伍德蕾——《天堂》 99.8%
布列塔尼·艾伦 –《深渊》 <1%
Tal Anderson –《皮特》 <1%
蒂娜·伊夫列夫——《地穴》 <1%
$76,641 交易量
$76,641 交易量
2026-09-14
布列塔尼·艾伦 –《深渊》
否
Tal Anderson –《皮特》
否
蒂娜·伊夫列夫——《地穴》
否
米里亚姆·肖尔——《Pluribus》
否
梅里特·韦弗——《镀金时代》
否
谢琳·伍德蕾——《天堂》
是
谢琳·伍德蕾——《天堂》 99.8%
布列塔尼·艾伦 –《深渊》 <1%
Tal Anderson –《皮特》 <1%
蒂娜·伊夫列夫——《地穴》 <1%
$76,641 交易量
$76,641 交易量
2026-09-14
布列塔尼·艾伦 –《深渊》
$20,394 交易量
否
Tal Anderson –《皮特》
$3,821 交易量
否
蒂娜·伊夫列夫——《地穴》
$3,127 交易量
否
米里亚姆·肖尔——《Pluribus》
$5,098 交易量
否
梅里特·韦弗——《镀金时代》
$3,697 交易量
否
谢琳·伍德蕾——《天堂》
$40,504 交易量
是
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shailene Woodley’s near-certain market dominance stems from her September 6 victory for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys, where she earned her first Emmy for a standout guest arc as Annie on Hulu’s Paradise. Her emotionally resonant performance in key episodes, including “Graceland,” aligned with strong critical reception and the show’s broader awards momentum, outpacing nominees from The Pitt, Pluribus, and The Gilded Age. With the category already decided ahead of the September 14 Primetime ceremony, traders have priced in the outcome at 99.8 percent implied probability. An upset would require an unprecedented reversal of the Creative Arts vote, which remains highly unlikely given the confirmed results and historical stability of these awards.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
交易量
$76,641结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shailene Woodley’s near-certain market dominance stems from her September 6 victory for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys, where she earned her first Emmy for a standout guest arc as Annie on Hulu’s Paradise. Her emotionally resonant performance in key episodes, including “Graceland,” aligned with strong critical reception and the show’s broader awards momentum, outpacing nominees from The Pitt, Pluribus, and The Gilded Age. With the category already decided ahead of the September 14 Primetime ceremony, traders have priced in the outcome at 99.8 percent implied probability. An upset would require an unprecedented reversal of the Creative Arts vote, which remains highly unlikely given the confirmed results and historical stability of these awards.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,641结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Shailene Woodley’s near-certain market dominance stems from her September 6 victory for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys, where she earned her first Emmy for a standout guest arc as Annie on Hulu’s Paradise. Her emotionally resonant performance in key episodes, including “Graceland,” aligned with strong critical reception and the show’s broader awards momentum, outpacing nominees from The Pitt, Pluribus, and The Gilded Age. With the category already decided ahead of the September 14 Primetime ceremony, traders have priced in the outcome at 99.8 percent implied probability. An upset would require an unprecedented reversal of the Creative Arts vote, which remains highly unlikely given the confirmed results and historical stability of these awards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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