The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% implied probability stems from its 25 Emmy nominations for season two—the most of any drama—and its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series winner. Industry predictors highlight the medical drama’s critical acclaim, expansive ensemble performances, and consistent guild-level support, which have cemented it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Nominees such as A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in both nominations and momentum. An upset would require a late voter shift toward a fresher contender or backlash against a sophomore season, though historical patterns and the show’s broad industry backing make such a reversal improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出剧集
艾美奖2026 ：杰出剧集
《深渊》 94%
《七王国的骑士》 2.7%
《你的朋友和邻居》 1.6%
《笨猪队》 1.4%
$21,966 交易量
$21,966 交易量
2026-09-14
《深渊》
94%
《七王国的骑士》
3%
《你的朋友和邻居》
2%
《笨猪队》
1%
《镀金时代》
1%
《外交家》
1%
“天堂”
1%
《深渊》 94%
《七王国的骑士》 2.7%
《你的朋友和邻居》 1.6%
《笨猪队》 1.4%
$21,966 交易量
$21,966 交易量
2026-09-14
《深渊》
$16,027 交易量
94%
《七王国的骑士》
$662 交易量
3%
《你的朋友和邻居》
$855 交易量
2%
《笨猪队》
$1,974 交易量
1%
《镀金时代》
$831 交易量
1%
《外交家》
$765 交易量
1%
“天堂”
$851 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% implied probability stems from its 25 Emmy nominations for season two—the most of any drama—and its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series winner. Industry predictors highlight the medical drama’s critical acclaim, expansive ensemble performances, and consistent guild-level support, which have cemented it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Nominees such as A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in both nominations and momentum. An upset would require a late voter shift toward a fresher contender or backlash against a sophomore season, though historical patterns and the show’s broad industry backing make such a reversal improbable.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
交易量
$21,966结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% implied probability stems from its 25 Emmy nominations for season two—the most of any drama—and its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series winner. Industry predictors highlight the medical drama’s critical acclaim, expansive ensemble performances, and consistent guild-level support, which have cemented it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Nominees such as A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in both nominations and momentum. An upset would require a late voter shift toward a fresher contender or backlash against a sophomore season, though historical patterns and the show’s broad industry backing make such a reversal improbable.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21,966结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% implied probability stems from its 25 Emmy nominations for season two—the most of any drama—and its status as the defending Outstanding Drama Series winner. Industry predictors highlight the medical drama’s critical acclaim, expansive ensemble performances, and consistent guild-level support, which have cemented it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Nominees such as A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Slow Horses, and The Diplomat trail far behind in both nominations and momentum. An upset would require a late voter shift toward a fresher contender or backlash against a sophomore season, though historical patterns and the show’s broad industry backing make such a reversal improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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