Rhea Seehorn leads the market at 79.5% implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series thanks to her starring turn as Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s Vince Gilligan-created sci-fi drama “Pluribus.” The series earned 18 Emmy nominations and has swept key precursors, including Golden Globe and Critics Choice wins for Seehorn, giving voters a clear narrative of overdue recognition after her multiple “Better Call Saul” nods. Keri Russell’s steady “The Diplomat” performance and recent SAG recognition keep her at 12.3%, while Zendaya’s prior category wins for “Euphoria” and mixed reviews for its return sit at 5.7%. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony approaching, Seehorn’s showy lead and the show’s critical dominance have solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出女主角
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出女主角
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 80%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》 12.2%
Zendaya –《亢奋》 5.9%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》 2.4%
$23,239 交易量
$23,239 交易量
2026-09-14
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
80%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》
12%
Zendaya –《亢奋》
6%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》
2%
Chase Infiniti——《遗嘱》
2%
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 80%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》 12.2%
Zendaya –《亢奋》 5.9%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》 2.4%
$23,239 交易量
$23,239 交易量
2026-09-14
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
$10,568 交易量
80%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》
$5,337 交易量
12%
Zendaya –《亢奋》
$3,418 交易量
6%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》
$2,216 交易量
2%
Chase Infiniti——《遗嘱》
$1,701 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads the market at 79.5% implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series thanks to her starring turn as Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s Vince Gilligan-created sci-fi drama “Pluribus.” The series earned 18 Emmy nominations and has swept key precursors, including Golden Globe and Critics Choice wins for Seehorn, giving voters a clear narrative of overdue recognition after her multiple “Better Call Saul” nods. Keri Russell’s steady “The Diplomat” performance and recent SAG recognition keep her at 12.3%, while Zendaya’s prior category wins for “Euphoria” and mixed reviews for its return sit at 5.7%. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony approaching, Seehorn’s showy lead and the show’s critical dominance have solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
交易量
$23,239结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads the market at 79.5% implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series thanks to her starring turn as Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s Vince Gilligan-created sci-fi drama “Pluribus.” The series earned 18 Emmy nominations and has swept key precursors, including Golden Globe and Critics Choice wins for Seehorn, giving voters a clear narrative of overdue recognition after her multiple “Better Call Saul” nods. Keri Russell’s steady “The Diplomat” performance and recent SAG recognition keep her at 12.3%, while Zendaya’s prior category wins for “Euphoria” and mixed reviews for its return sit at 5.7%. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony approaching, Seehorn’s showy lead and the show’s critical dominance have solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,239结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETRhea Seehorn leads the market at 79.5% implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series thanks to her starring turn as Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s Vince Gilligan-created sci-fi drama “Pluribus.” The series earned 18 Emmy nominations and has swept key precursors, including Golden Globe and Critics Choice wins for Seehorn, giving voters a clear narrative of overdue recognition after her multiple “Better Call Saul” nods. Keri Russell’s steady “The Diplomat” performance and recent SAG recognition keep her at 12.3%, while Zendaya’s prior category wins for “Euphoria” and mixed reviews for its return sit at 5.7%. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony approaching, Seehorn’s showy lead and the show’s critical dominance have solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题