Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied odds for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series reflect trader consensus around his critically praised turn as the desperate single father Robbie in HBO’s “Task,” a performance lauded for its emotional depth and personal resonance that earned strong precursor attention. “The Pitt” dominates the category with three nominees—Patrick Ball (32.5%) as the recovery-focused Dr. Langdon, Shawn Hatosy (13.1%), and Gerran Howell (0.9%)—creating vote-splitting risk that has historically opened doors for outsiders, echoing Billy Crudup’s prior win without a series nomination. Recent final-round voting momentum, fueled by “Task”’s standalone acclaim versus the medical drama’s broader Emmy haul, has elevated Pelphrey over veteran Billy Crudup (5.2%) and others like Jack Lowden. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出配角
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出配角
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》 46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》 34%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》 12.5%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》 5.3%
$35,184 交易量
$35,184 交易量
2026-09-14
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》
46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》
34%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》
13%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》
5%
杰克·劳登 –《慢马》
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga –《Pluribus》
2%
Gerran Howell——《匹特》
1%
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》 46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》 34%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》 12.5%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》 5.3%
$35,184 交易量
$35,184 交易量
2026-09-14
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》
$12,550 交易量
46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》
$14,426 交易量
34%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》
$4,610 交易量
13%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》
$1,071 交易量
5%
杰克·劳登 –《慢马》
$1,131 交易量
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga –《Pluribus》
$935 交易量
2%
Gerran Howell——《匹特》
$462 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied odds for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series reflect trader consensus around his critically praised turn as the desperate single father Robbie in HBO’s “Task,” a performance lauded for its emotional depth and personal resonance that earned strong precursor attention. “The Pitt” dominates the category with three nominees—Patrick Ball (32.5%) as the recovery-focused Dr. Langdon, Shawn Hatosy (13.1%), and Gerran Howell (0.9%)—creating vote-splitting risk that has historically opened doors for outsiders, echoing Billy Crudup’s prior win without a series nomination. Recent final-round voting momentum, fueled by “Task”’s standalone acclaim versus the medical drama’s broader Emmy haul, has elevated Pelphrey over veteran Billy Crudup (5.2%) and others like Jack Lowden. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$35,184结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied odds for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series reflect trader consensus around his critically praised turn as the desperate single father Robbie in HBO’s “Task,” a performance lauded for its emotional depth and personal resonance that earned strong precursor attention. “The Pitt” dominates the category with three nominees—Patrick Ball (32.5%) as the recovery-focused Dr. Langdon, Shawn Hatosy (13.1%), and Gerran Howell (0.9%)—creating vote-splitting risk that has historically opened doors for outsiders, echoing Billy Crudup’s prior win without a series nomination. Recent final-round voting momentum, fueled by “Task”’s standalone acclaim versus the medical drama’s broader Emmy haul, has elevated Pelphrey over veteran Billy Crudup (5.2%) and others like Jack Lowden. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$35,184结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETTom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied odds for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series reflect trader consensus around his critically praised turn as the desperate single father Robbie in HBO’s “Task,” a performance lauded for its emotional depth and personal resonance that earned strong precursor attention. “The Pitt” dominates the category with three nominees—Patrick Ball (32.5%) as the recovery-focused Dr. Langdon, Shawn Hatosy (13.1%), and Gerran Howell (0.9%)—creating vote-splitting risk that has historically opened doors for outsiders, echoing Billy Crudup’s prior win without a series nomination. Recent final-round voting momentum, fueled by “Task”’s standalone acclaim versus the medical drama’s broader Emmy haul, has elevated Pelphrey over veteran Billy Crudup (5.2%) and others like Jack Lowden. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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