Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied odds for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series stem from his critically praised turn as a desperate single father in “Task,” which stands out amid a crowded field without competing against multiple co-nominees from the same series. “The Pitt” secured three slots—Patrick Ball at 34%, Shawn Hatosy at 12.3%, and Gerran Howell at under 1%—fueling trader concern over vote splitting despite the show’s dominant 25 nominations and strong guild and critic momentum. Billy Crudup’s prior wins for “The Morning Show” and established contenders like Jack Lowden in “Slow Horses” and Carlos-Manuel Vesga in “Pluribus” round out the race, but final voting concluded August 26 with the September 14 ceremony now the key catalyst. Trader consensus reflects these nomination dynamics and historical patterns favoring standout individual performances over ensemble-heavy campaigns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 :戏剧系列中的杰出配角
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》 46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》 37%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》 12.5%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》 5.3%
$35,184 交易量
$35,184 交易量
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》
46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》
37%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》
13%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》
5%
杰克·劳登 –《慢马》
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga –《Pluribus》
2%
Gerran Howell——《匹特》
1%
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》 46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》 37%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》 12.5%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》 5.3%
$35,184 交易量
$35,184 交易量
汤姆·派福瑞——《任务》
46%
帕特里克·鲍尔——《皮特》
37%
肖恩·哈托西——《皮特》
13%
比利·克鲁德普–《晨间直播》
5%
杰克·劳登 –《慢马》
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga –《Pluribus》
2%
Gerran Howell——《匹特》
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied odds for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series stem from his critically praised turn as a desperate single father in “Task,” which stands out amid a crowded field without competing against multiple co-nominees from the same series. “The Pitt” secured three slots—Patrick Ball at 34%, Shawn Hatosy at 12.3%, and Gerran Howell at under 1%—fueling trader concern over vote splitting despite the show’s dominant 25 nominations and strong guild and critic momentum. Billy Crudup’s prior wins for “The Morning Show” and established contenders like Jack Lowden in “Slow Horses” and Carlos-Manuel Vesga in “Pluribus” round out the race, but final voting concluded August 26 with the September 14 ceremony now the key catalyst. Trader consensus reflects these nomination dynamics and historical patterns favoring standout individual performances over ensemble-heavy campaigns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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