Sally Field’s dominant market positioning reflects overwhelming trader consensus around her critically praised turn as Tova Sullivan in the Netflix adaptation of *Remarkably Bright Creatures*, bolstered by the project’s earlier Creative Arts Emmy win for Outstanding Movie and strong reviews highlighting her nuanced, emotionally resonant performance. As a veteran with multiple prior Emmys and Oscars, Field benefited from sentimental momentum and historical patterns favoring established talent in this category. The 100% implied probability underscores how guild and precursor signals aligned behind her over competitors like Claire Danes in *The Beast in Me* or Carey Mulligan in *Beef*. An upset would have required a late surge in voting for a younger contender or unexpected narrative shift, though the market’s near-certainty indicated few realistic paths remained once nominations and early awards solidified her lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：限量或选集系列或电影中的杰出女主角
艾美奖2026 ：限量或选集系列或电影中的杰出女主角
萨莉·菲尔德——《异常聪明的生物》 100.0%
克莱尔·丹尼斯——《我心中的野兽》 <1%
凯瑞·穆里根 – 《怒呛人生》 <1%
莎拉·皮金 –《爱情故事：小约翰·F·肯尼迪与卡罗琳·贝塞特》 <1%
$72,652 交易量
$72,652 交易量
2026-09-14
克莱尔·丹尼斯——《我心中的野兽》
否
萨莉·菲尔德——《异常聪明的生物》
是
凯瑞·穆里根 – 《怒呛人生》
否
莎拉·皮金 –《爱情故事：小约翰·F·肯尼迪与卡罗琳·贝塞特》
否
Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault”
否
萨莉·菲尔德——《异常聪明的生物》 100.0%
克莱尔·丹尼斯——《我心中的野兽》 <1%
凯瑞·穆里根 – 《怒呛人生》 <1%
莎拉·皮金 –《爱情故事：小约翰·F·肯尼迪与卡罗琳·贝塞特》 <1%
$72,652 交易量
$72,652 交易量
2026-09-14
克莱尔·丹尼斯——《我心中的野兽》
$3,990 交易量
否
萨莉·菲尔德——《异常聪明的生物》
$10,289 交易量
是
凯瑞·穆里根 – 《怒呛人生》
$26,838 交易量
否
莎拉·皮金 –《爱情故事：小约翰·F·肯尼迪与卡罗琳·贝塞特》
$18,731 交易量
否
Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault”
$12,804 交易量
否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sally Field’s dominant market positioning reflects overwhelming trader consensus around her critically praised turn as Tova Sullivan in the Netflix adaptation of *Remarkably Bright Creatures*, bolstered by the project’s earlier Creative Arts Emmy win for Outstanding Movie and strong reviews highlighting her nuanced, emotionally resonant performance. As a veteran with multiple prior Emmys and Oscars, Field benefited from sentimental momentum and historical patterns favoring established talent in this category. The 100% implied probability underscores how guild and precursor signals aligned behind her over competitors like Claire Danes in *The Beast in Me* or Carey Mulligan in *Beef*. An upset would have required a late surge in voting for a younger contender or unexpected narrative shift, though the market’s near-certainty indicated few realistic paths remained once nominations and early awards solidified her lead.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
交易量
$72,652结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sally Field’s dominant market positioning reflects overwhelming trader consensus around her critically praised turn as Tova Sullivan in the Netflix adaptation of *Remarkably Bright Creatures*, bolstered by the project’s earlier Creative Arts Emmy win for Outstanding Movie and strong reviews highlighting her nuanced, emotionally resonant performance. As a veteran with multiple prior Emmys and Oscars, Field benefited from sentimental momentum and historical patterns favoring established talent in this category. The 100% implied probability underscores how guild and precursor signals aligned behind her over competitors like Claire Danes in *The Beast in Me* or Carey Mulligan in *Beef*. An upset would have required a late surge in voting for a younger contender or unexpected narrative shift, though the market’s near-certainty indicated few realistic paths remained once nominations and early awards solidified her lead.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$72,652结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Sally Field’s dominant market positioning reflects overwhelming trader consensus around her critically praised turn as Tova Sullivan in the Netflix adaptation of *Remarkably Bright Creatures*, bolstered by the project’s earlier Creative Arts Emmy win for Outstanding Movie and strong reviews highlighting her nuanced, emotionally resonant performance. As a veteran with multiple prior Emmys and Oscars, Field benefited from sentimental momentum and historical patterns favoring established talent in this category. The 100% implied probability underscores how guild and precursor signals aligned behind her over competitors like Claire Danes in *The Beast in Me* or Carey Mulligan in *Beef*. An upset would have required a late surge in voting for a younger contender or unexpected narrative shift, though the market’s near-certainty indicated few realistic paths remained once nominations and early awards solidified her lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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