Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市长#职位2026年6月16日至6月23日?
20-39 52%
140-159 45%
160-179 39%
180-199 39%
<20
19%
20-39
66%
40-59
30%
60-79
20%
80-99
19%
100-119
20%
120-139
17%
140-159
45%
160-179
39%
180-199
39%
200+
39%
20-39 52%
140-159 45%
160-179 39%
180-199 39%
<20
19%
20-39
66%
40-59
30%
60-79
20%
80-99
19%
100-119
20%
120-139
17%
140-159
45%
160-179
39%
180-199
39%
200+
39%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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