Todd Blanche’s formal nomination as attorney general, submitted June 8 after serving as acting AG since April, has triggered immediate Democratic opposition and questions from some Republicans over his prior DOJ actions and loyalty to the administration. Senate Judiciary Committee processing is just beginning, with hearings unlikely before mid-July and a target for full Senate action by summer’s end. His earlier deputy AG confirmation passed 52-46 along largely partisan lines, but the current environment—with potential GOP holdouts and procedural delays—keeps trader consensus tightly clustered around 55 or 56 affirmative votes while assigning substantial probability to no final vote or withdrawal by December 31. Any further public statements from key senators or committee developments could quickly shift the narrow range of likely outcomes.