Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-01
8月1日
56%
8月2日
56%
8月3日
56%
8月4日
55%
8月5日
59%
8月6日
58%
8月7日
87%
8月8日
61%
8月9日
56%
8月10日
54%
8月11日
59%
8月12日
58%
8月13日
87%
8月14日
63%
8月15日
58%
8月16日
58%
8月17日
61%
8月18日
55%
8月19日
88%
8月20日
49%
8月21日
49%
8月22日
63%
8月23日
49%
8月24日
49%
8月25日
88%
8月26日
86%
8月27日
58%
8月28日
88%
8月29日
87%
8月30日
49%
8月31日
88%
$599 交易量
8月1日
$29 交易量
56%
8月2日
$15 交易量
56%
8月3日
$15 交易量
56%
8月4日
$15 交易量
55%
8月5日
$15 交易量
59%
8月6日
$15 交易量
58%
8月7日
$0 交易量
87%
8月8日
$15 交易量
61%
8月9日
$15 交易量
56%
8月10日
$15 交易量
54%
8月11日
$15 交易量
59%
8月12日
$15 交易量
58%
8月13日
$15 交易量
87%
8月14日
$15 交易量
63%
8月15日
$15 交易量
58%
8月16日
$15 交易量
58%
8月17日
$15 交易量
61%
8月18日
$15 交易量
55%
8月19日
$56 交易量
88%
8月20日
$15 交易量
49%
8月21日
$15 交易量
49%
8月22日
$15 交易量
63%
8月23日
$15 交易量
49%
8月24日
$15 交易量
49%
8月25日
$35 交易量
88%
8月26日
$36 交易量
86%
8月27日
$15 交易量
58%
8月28日
$35 交易量
88%
8月29日
$28 交易量
87%
8月30日
$15 交易量
49%
8月31日
$26 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 11:18 PM ET
交易量
$599结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$599结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal commentary into public statements, social media posts, and press interactions drives trader consensus toward elevated probabilities in daily resolution markets of this type. Recent streaks, with most dates since mid-June 2026 resolving yes under the market's criteria for clear personal attacks rather than policy critiques, have reinforced this positioning, as volumes concentrate on high Yes prices for dates with expected activity. Scheduled public remarks, campaign events, or responses to ongoing legislative and international developments within the 24-hour ET window can influence outcomes, while quieter periods occasionally produce No resolutions. Traders monitor primary sources such as official accounts and live coverage for verification against the defined resolution standards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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