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icon for 特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?

特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?

icon for 特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?

特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?

59% 概率
Polymarket
最新

59% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered. This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The formal White House setting for UFC Freedom 250 on June 14, coinciding with President Trump's 80th birthday and America's 250th anniversary celebrations, underpins the 66% market-implied odds favoring no hugs. High-profile security protocols, media scrutiny, and the event's ceremonial framing on the South Lawn typically channel presidential interactions toward handshakes, fist bumps, and photo opportunities rather than embraces, consistent with Trump's prior UFC appearances and recent Oval Office meetups with fighters. Ongoing construction, a lawsuit challenging the event, and multiple A-list celebrity declines have heightened focus on official decorum, reinforcing trader expectations of restrained conduct amid the competitive card and anniversary programming. The live broadcast itself serves as the final catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered.

This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
交易量
$10
结束日期
2026-06-15
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered. This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered. This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The formal White House setting for UFC Freedom 250 on June 14, coinciding with President Trump's 80th birthday and America's 250th anniversary celebrations, underpins the 66% market-implied odds favoring no hugs. High-profile security protocols, media scrutiny, and the event's ceremonial framing on the South Lawn typically channel presidential interactions toward handshakes, fist bumps, and photo opportunities rather than embraces, consistent with Trump's prior UFC appearances and recent Oval Office meetups with fighters. Ongoing construction, a lawsuit challenging the event, and multiple A-list celebrity declines have heightened focus on official decorum, reinforcing trader expectations of restrained conduct amid the competitive card and anniversary programming. The live broadcast itself serves as the final catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered.

This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
交易量
$10
结束日期
2026-06-15
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump hugs anyone during the UFC Freedom 250 event currently scheduled for June 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The UFC Freedom 250 event extends from the beginning of the first match until the end of the final match. Hugs before or after the event will not be considered. This market may resolve once the final match of the UFC Freedom 250 event concludes. If this event is cancelled or postponed beyond June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在UFC Freedom 250上拥抱任何人吗?",概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 34¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 34%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 9, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在UFC Freedom 250上拥抱任何人吗?",概率为 34%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普会拥抱UFC Freedom 250的任何人吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。