Traders assign an 87% implied probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account in the June 12–19 window, reflecting the leadership transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in early 2026 and the Assembly of Experts’ appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader. The primary @khamenei_ir account now functions mainly as an archival or memorial platform for statements from the martyred former leader, resulting in minimal new content. Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a separate verified account with its own posting cadence, while the main channel has shown reduced output amid the shift in institutional roles and public communications. No major scheduled announcements or diplomatic events are currently tied to that specific week that would alter the low-activity baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 87%
5-9 8%
20-24 4.3%
25-29 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
<5
87%
5-9
8%
10-14
4%
15-19
4%
20-24
4%
25-29
4%
30-34
3%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 87%
5-9 8%
20-24 4.3%
25-29 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
<5
$403 交易量
87%
5-9
$117 交易量
8%
10-14
$130 交易量
4%
15-19
$168 交易量
4%
20-24
$148 交易量
4%
25-29
$120 交易量
4%
30-34
$141 交易量
3%
35-39
$111 交易量
<1%
40-44
$111 交易量
<1%
45-49
$111 交易量
<1%
50-54
$194 交易量
1%
55-59
$108 交易量
1%
60+
$136 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign an 87% implied probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account in the June 12–19 window, reflecting the leadership transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in early 2026 and the Assembly of Experts’ appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader. The primary @khamenei_ir account now functions mainly as an archival or memorial platform for statements from the martyred former leader, resulting in minimal new content. Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a separate verified account with its own posting cadence, while the main channel has shown reduced output amid the shift in institutional roles and public communications. No major scheduled announcements or diplomatic events are currently tied to that specific week that would alter the low-activity baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$1,981结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign an 87% implied probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account in the June 12–19 window, reflecting the leadership transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in early 2026 and the Assembly of Experts’ appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader. The primary @khamenei_ir account now functions mainly as an archival or memorial platform for statements from the martyred former leader, resulting in minimal new content. Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a separate verified account with its own posting cadence, while the main channel has shown reduced output amid the shift in institutional roles and public communications. No major scheduled announcements or diplomatic events are currently tied to that specific week that would alter the low-activity baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,981结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 87% implied probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account in the June 12–19 window, reflecting the leadership transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in early 2026 and the Assembly of Experts’ appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader. The primary @khamenei_ir account now functions mainly as an archival or memorial platform for statements from the martyred former leader, resulting in minimal new content. Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a separate verified account with its own posting cadence, while the main channel has shown reduced output amid the shift in institutional roles and public communications. No major scheduled announcements or diplomatic events are currently tied to that specific week that would alter the low-activity baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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