The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination in Georgia remains closely contested, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns, regional vote splits, and the absence of a decisive endorsement from President Trump. Collins holds an edge from his stronger primary performance and appeal among MAGA-aligned voters, while Dooley benefits from Gov. Brian Kemp’s support and establishment backing that could consolidate in suburban and metro areas. Recent early voting data and the late-May primary results underscore the potential for modest margins, as low Republican runoff participation and competing fundraising efforts limit clear separation. A Trump endorsement or strong debate performance could shift momentum and widen the outcome, whereas sustained division between factions keeps multiple margin brackets and an upset in play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Collins <5% 45%
Collins 15–20% 40%
柯林斯20–25% 40%
Collins 25%+ 40%
$126 交易量
$126 交易量
2026-05-25
杜利获胜
15%
Collins <5%
45%
柯林斯5-10%
23%
Collins 10–15%
38%
Collins 15–20%
40%
柯林斯20–25%
40%
Collins 25%+
40%
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 15–20% 40%
柯林斯20–25% 40%
Collins 25%+ 40%
$126 交易量
$126 交易量
2026-05-25
杜利获胜
$15 交易量
15%
Collins <5%
$28 交易量
45%
柯林斯5-10%
$43 交易量
23%
Collins 10–15%
$5 交易量
38%
Collins 15–20%
$5 交易量
40%
柯林斯20–25%
$5 交易量
40%
Collins 25%+
$25 交易量
40%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination in Georgia remains closely contested, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns, regional vote splits, and the absence of a decisive endorsement from President Trump. Collins holds an edge from his stronger primary performance and appeal among MAGA-aligned voters, while Dooley benefits from Gov. Brian Kemp’s support and establishment backing that could consolidate in suburban and metro areas. Recent early voting data and the late-May primary results underscore the potential for modest margins, as low Republican runoff participation and competing fundraising efforts limit clear separation. A Trump endorsement or strong debate performance could shift momentum and widen the outcome, whereas sustained division between factions keeps multiple margin brackets and an upset in play.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
交易量
$126结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination in Georgia remains closely contested, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns, regional vote splits, and the absence of a decisive endorsement from President Trump. Collins holds an edge from his stronger primary performance and appeal among MAGA-aligned voters, while Dooley benefits from Gov. Brian Kemp’s support and establishment backing that could consolidate in suburban and metro areas. Recent early voting data and the late-May primary results underscore the potential for modest margins, as low Republican runoff participation and competing fundraising efforts limit clear separation. A Trump endorsement or strong debate performance could shift momentum and widen the outcome, whereas sustained division between factions keeps multiple margin brackets and an upset in play.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$126结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination in Georgia remains closely contested, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over turnout patterns, regional vote splits, and the absence of a decisive endorsement from President Trump. Collins holds an edge from his stronger primary performance and appeal among MAGA-aligned voters, while Dooley benefits from Gov. Brian Kemp’s support and establishment backing that could consolidate in suburban and metro areas. Recent early voting data and the late-May primary results underscore the potential for modest margins, as low Republican runoff participation and competing fundraising efforts limit clear separation. A Trump endorsement or strong debate performance could shift momentum and widen the outcome, whereas sustained division between factions keeps multiple margin brackets and an upset in play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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