Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with over 98% of ballots counted placing her ahead by roughly 1,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 0–4% Fujimori victory because preliminary results and pollster projections show her urban and coastal strength outweighing Sánchez’s rural gains, and the remaining contested stations are unlikely to reverse the margin. The race has been shaped by voter priorities on crime and political instability, Fujimori’s established party machinery, and a fragmented first-round field that funneled support into this matchup. A shift would require successful challenges to thousands of ballots during the extended review process or unexpected swings in the final tallies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Fujimori 0–4% 98.3%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,048,868 交易量
$1,048,868 交易量
2026-06-07
Fujimori 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
98%
Sánchez 0–4%
1%
Sánchez 4–8%
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 98.3%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,048,868 交易量
$1,048,868 交易量
2026-06-07
Fujimori 12%+
$70,174 交易量
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
$60,207 交易量
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
$153,459 交易量
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
$297,532 交易量
98%
Sánchez 0–4%
$313,159 交易量
1%
Sánchez 4–8%
$84,864 交易量
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
$38,513 交易量
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$30,961 交易量
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with over 98% of ballots counted placing her ahead by roughly 1,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 0–4% Fujimori victory because preliminary results and pollster projections show her urban and coastal strength outweighing Sánchez’s rural gains, and the remaining contested stations are unlikely to reverse the margin. The race has been shaped by voter priorities on crime and political instability, Fujimori’s established party machinery, and a fragmented first-round field that funneled support into this matchup. A shift would require successful challenges to thousands of ballots during the extended review process or unexpected swings in the final tallies.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$1,048,868结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with over 98% of ballots counted placing her ahead by roughly 1,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 0–4% Fujimori victory because preliminary results and pollster projections show her urban and coastal strength outweighing Sánchez’s rural gains, and the remaining contested stations are unlikely to reverse the margin. The race has been shaped by voter priorities on crime and political instability, Fujimori’s established party machinery, and a fragmented first-round field that funneled support into this matchup. A shift would require successful challenges to thousands of ballots during the extended review process or unexpected swings in the final tallies.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$1,048,868结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with over 98% of ballots counted placing her ahead by roughly 1,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 0–4% Fujimori victory because preliminary results and pollster projections show her urban and coastal strength outweighing Sánchez’s rural gains, and the remaining contested stations are unlikely to reverse the margin. The race has been shaped by voter priorities on crime and political instability, Fujimori’s established party machinery, and a fragmented first-round field that funneled support into this matchup. A shift would require successful challenges to thousands of ballots during the extended review process or unexpected swings in the final tallies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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