The razor-thin contest between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez remains defined by Peru’s stark urban-rural divide, with coastal and Lima precincts favoring Fujimori while Andean and rural areas back Sánchez, producing a statistical tie after 95 percent of ballots. Early tallies showed Fujimori ahead, but late rural returns have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points in official counts, sustaining trader focus on sub-0.4 percent margins for either candidate. Deep polarization over security, crime, and economic policy—coupled with a fragmented first-round field—has kept the second-round outcome uncertain, with the full national tally and any procedural reviews expected through July. Remaining precincts and potential challenges could still shift the final margin within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于藤森 0.2–0.3% 34%
藤森 0.1–0.2% 29%
藤森 0.3–0.4% 19%
藤森 0–0.1% 15%
$216,540 交易量
$216,540 交易量
藤森超过1%
<1%
藤森 0.9–1.0%
<1%
藤森0.8–0.9%
<1%
藤森0.7–0.8%
<1%
藤森 0.6-0.7%
<1%
藤森0.5–0.6%
<1%
藤森 0.4–0.5%
5%
藤森 0.3–0.4%
19%
藤森 0.2–0.3%
34%
藤森 0.1–0.2%
29%
藤森 0–0.1%
15%
桑切斯 0–0.1%
2%
桑切斯0.1–0.2%
1%
桑切斯 0.2–0.3%
1%
桑切斯 0.3–0.4%
<1%
桑切斯 0.4–0.5%
<1%
桑切斯0.5–0.6%
<1%
桑切斯 0.6–0.7%
<1%
桑切斯 0.7–0.8%
<1%
桑切斯 0.8–0.9%
<1%
桑切斯 0.9–1.0%
<1%
桑切斯1%+
<1%
其他
<1%
藤森 0.2–0.3% 34%
藤森 0.1–0.2% 29%
藤森 0.3–0.4% 19%
藤森 0–0.1% 15%
$216,540 交易量
$216,540 交易量
藤森超过1%
<1%
藤森 0.9–1.0%
<1%
藤森0.8–0.9%
<1%
藤森0.7–0.8%
<1%
藤森 0.6-0.7%
<1%
藤森0.5–0.6%
<1%
藤森 0.4–0.5%
5%
藤森 0.3–0.4%
19%
藤森 0.2–0.3%
34%
藤森 0.1–0.2%
29%
藤森 0–0.1%
15%
桑切斯 0–0.1%
2%
桑切斯0.1–0.2%
1%
桑切斯 0.2–0.3%
1%
桑切斯 0.3–0.4%
<1%
桑切斯 0.4–0.5%
<1%
桑切斯0.5–0.6%
<1%
桑切斯 0.6–0.7%
<1%
桑切斯 0.7–0.8%
<1%
桑切斯 0.8–0.9%
<1%
桑切斯 0.9–1.0%
<1%
桑切斯1%+
<1%
其他
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The razor-thin contest between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez remains defined by Peru’s stark urban-rural divide, with coastal and Lima precincts favoring Fujimori while Andean and rural areas back Sánchez, producing a statistical tie after 95 percent of ballots. Early tallies showed Fujimori ahead, but late rural returns have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points in official counts, sustaining trader focus on sub-0.4 percent margins for either candidate. Deep polarization over security, crime, and economic policy—coupled with a fragmented first-round field—has kept the second-round outcome uncertain, with the full national tally and any procedural reviews expected through July. Remaining precincts and potential challenges could still shift the final margin within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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