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icon for 秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)

秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)

icon for 秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)

秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)

藤森 0.2–0.3% 34%

藤森 0.1–0.2% 29%

藤森 0.3–0.4% 19%

藤森 0–0.1% 15%

Polymarket
最新

$216,540 交易量

藤森 0.2–0.3% 34%

藤森 0.1–0.2% 29%

藤森 0.3–0.4% 19%

藤森 0–0.1% 15%

Polymarket
最新

$216,540 交易量

藤森超过1%

$6,384 交易量

<1%

藤森 0.9–1.0%

$3,929 交易量

<1%

藤森0.8–0.9%

$3,400 交易量

<1%

藤森0.7–0.8%

$4,662 交易量

<1%

藤森 0.6-0.7%

$4,555 交易量

<1%

藤森0.5–0.6%

$4,661 交易量

<1%

藤森 0.4–0.5%

$17,467 交易量

5%

藤森 0.3–0.4%

$32,505 交易量

19%

藤森 0.2–0.3%

$16,977 交易量

34%

藤森 0.1–0.2%

$19,930 交易量

29%

藤森 0–0.1%

$31,781 交易量

15%

桑切斯 0–0.1%

$12,395 交易量

2%

桑切斯0.1–0.2%

$10,333 交易量

1%

桑切斯 0.2–0.3%

$8,778 交易量

1%

桑切斯 0.3–0.4%

$7,093 交易量

<1%

桑切斯 0.4–0.5%

$6,259 交易量

<1%

桑切斯0.5–0.6%

$5,696 交易量

<1%

桑切斯 0.6–0.7%

$6,465 交易量

<1%

桑切斯 0.7–0.8%

$9,499 交易量

<1%

桑切斯 0.8–0.9%

$4,756 交易量

<1%

桑切斯 0.9–1.0%

$4,631 交易量

<1%

桑切斯1%+

$4,525 交易量

<1%

其他

$5,862 交易量

<1%

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin contest between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez remains defined by Peru’s stark urban-rural divide, with coastal and Lima precincts favoring Fujimori while Andean and rural areas back Sánchez, producing a statistical tie after 95 percent of ballots. Early tallies showed Fujimori ahead, but late rural returns have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points in official counts, sustaining trader focus on sub-0.4 percent margins for either candidate. Deep polarization over security, crime, and economic policy—coupled with a fragmented first-round field—has kept the second-round outcome uncertain, with the full national tally and any procedural reviews expected through July. Remaining precincts and potential challenges could still shift the final margin within the resolution window.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$216,540
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin contest between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez remains defined by Peru’s stark urban-rural divide, with coastal and Lima precincts favoring Fujimori while Andean and rural areas back Sánchez, producing a statistical tie after 95 percent of ballots. Early tallies showed Fujimori ahead, but late rural returns have narrowed the gap to under 0.2 points in official counts, sustaining trader focus on sub-0.4 percent margins for either candidate. Deep polarization over security, crime, and economic policy—coupled with a fragmented first-round field—has kept the second-round outcome uncertain, with the full national tally and any procedural reviews expected through July. Remaining precincts and potential challenges could still shift the final margin within the resolution window.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$216,540
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 23 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"藤森 0.2–0.3%",概率为 34%,其次是"藤森 0.1–0.2%",概率为 29%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 34¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 34%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)"已产生 $216.5K 的总交易量(自Jun 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 23 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)"的当前领先者是"藤森 0.2–0.3%",概率为 34%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 34%。紧随其后的结果是"藤森 0.1–0.2%",概率为 29%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"秘鲁大选第二轮:胜利边际? ( 0.1%括号)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。