Recent polling ahead of South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary showed incumbent Lindsey Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch by roughly 20 points in most surveys, with Graham in the high 40s to low 50s and Lynch in the mid-20s. This positioning reflected Graham’s long incumbency and institutional support against Lynch’s appeal as a more conservative alternative critical of Graham’s record on spending and foreign policy. Multiple late polls clustered in similar ranges, leaving the exact margin sensitive to turnout among base voters and undecided Republicans. The market’s tight pricing between several margin buckets mirrors that polling spread and the limited historical data on how such an incumbent-versus-insurgent dynamic resolves on primary night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于格雷厄姆30–40% 40%
格雷厄姆20–30% 35%
格雷厄姆 40–50% 13%
格雷厄姆10–20% 12%
$6,027 交易量
$6,027 交易量
2026-06-09
格雷厄姆 50%以上
1%
格雷厄姆 40–50%
26%
格雷厄姆30–40%
50%
格雷厄姆20–30%
49%
格雷厄姆10–20%
12%
格雷厄姆<10%
2%
林奇获胜
1%
格雷厄姆30–40% 40%
格雷厄姆20–30% 35%
格雷厄姆 40–50% 13%
格雷厄姆10–20% 12%
$6,027 交易量
$6,027 交易量
2026-06-09
格雷厄姆 50%以上
$961 交易量
1%
格雷厄姆 40–50%
$1,492 交易量
26%
格雷厄姆30–40%
$196 交易量
50%
格雷厄姆20–30%
$672 交易量
49%
格雷厄姆10–20%
$847 交易量
12%
格雷厄姆<10%
$1,314 交易量
2%
林奇获胜
$562 交易量
1%
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling ahead of South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary showed incumbent Lindsey Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch by roughly 20 points in most surveys, with Graham in the high 40s to low 50s and Lynch in the mid-20s. This positioning reflected Graham’s long incumbency and institutional support against Lynch’s appeal as a more conservative alternative critical of Graham’s record on spending and foreign policy. Multiple late polls clustered in similar ranges, leaving the exact margin sensitive to turnout among base voters and undecided Republicans. The market’s tight pricing between several margin buckets mirrors that polling spread and the limited historical data on how such an incumbent-versus-insurgent dynamic resolves on primary night.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$6,027结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling ahead of South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary showed incumbent Lindsey Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch by roughly 20 points in most surveys, with Graham in the high 40s to low 50s and Lynch in the mid-20s. This positioning reflected Graham’s long incumbency and institutional support against Lynch’s appeal as a more conservative alternative critical of Graham’s record on spending and foreign policy. Multiple late polls clustered in similar ranges, leaving the exact margin sensitive to turnout among base voters and undecided Republicans. The market’s tight pricing between several margin buckets mirrors that polling spread and the limited historical data on how such an incumbent-versus-insurgent dynamic resolves on primary night.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$6,027结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary showed incumbent Lindsey Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch by roughly 20 points in most surveys, with Graham in the high 40s to low 50s and Lynch in the mid-20s. This positioning reflected Graham’s long incumbency and institutional support against Lynch’s appeal as a more conservative alternative critical of Graham’s record on spending and foreign policy. Multiple late polls clustered in similar ranges, leaving the exact margin sensitive to turnout among base voters and undecided Republicans. The market’s tight pricing between several margin buckets mirrors that polling spread and the limited historical data on how such an incumbent-versus-insurgent dynamic resolves on primary night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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