Xavier Becerra holds the lead in the June 2 top-two primary because Eric Swalwell’s April exit consolidated Democratic support around the former attorney general and HHS secretary, who now tops recent Emerson and SurveyUSA surveys at 19 percent. Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer trail closely as Republicans split the GOP vote between Hilton and Chad Bianco while Steyer appeals to independents and moderate Democrats. The May 15 San Francisco debate kept Becerra in the spotlight as rivals focused attacks on his record, yet polling averages still place him ahead of the fragmented field. With mail ballots already distributed and only two candidates advancing regardless of party, trader odds reflect Becerra’s current edge in a race where late shifts among undecided voters or stronger Republican turnout could still alter the top-two outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.0%
$27,901 交易量
$27,901 交易量
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Derek Grasty
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.0%
$27,901 交易量
$27,901 交易量
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Derek Grasty
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds the lead in the June 2 top-two primary because Eric Swalwell’s April exit consolidated Democratic support around the former attorney general and HHS secretary, who now tops recent Emerson and SurveyUSA surveys at 19 percent. Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer trail closely as Republicans split the GOP vote between Hilton and Chad Bianco while Steyer appeals to independents and moderate Democrats. The May 15 San Francisco debate kept Becerra in the spotlight as rivals focused attacks on his record, yet polling averages still place him ahead of the fragmented field. With mail ballots already distributed and only two candidates advancing regardless of party, trader odds reflect Becerra’s current edge in a race where late shifts among undecided voters or stronger Republican turnout could still alter the top-two outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题