U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her dominant showings in recent polls among likely GOP primary voters. A Targoz Market Research/Beacon Center survey from April 20-27 (released early May) gave her 63%, well ahead of U.S. Rep. John Rose at 10% and state Rep. Monty Fritts at 5%, expanding on a March Cygnal poll's 58-7% spread. Rose launched a $1 million ad campaign last week to boost visibility, but limited polling traction keeps challengers marginal amid Blackburn's superior name recognition, fundraising, and conservative credentials in the crowded field post-March filing deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛莎·布莱克本 90%
蒙蒂·弗里茨 4.6%
约翰·罗斯 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
玛莎·布莱克本
90%
蒙蒂·弗里茨
5%
约翰·罗斯
5%
玛莎·布莱克本 90%
蒙蒂·弗里茨 4.6%
约翰·罗斯 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
玛莎·布莱克本
$2,506 交易量
90%
蒙蒂·弗里茨
$1,984 交易量
5%
约翰·罗斯
$1,769 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her dominant showings in recent polls among likely GOP primary voters. A Targoz Market Research/Beacon Center survey from April 20-27 (released early May) gave her 63%, well ahead of U.S. Rep. John Rose at 10% and state Rep. Monty Fritts at 5%, expanding on a March Cygnal poll's 58-7% spread. Rose launched a $1 million ad campaign last week to boost visibility, but limited polling traction keeps challengers marginal amid Blackburn's superior name recognition, fundraising, and conservative credentials in the crowded field post-March filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET
交易量
$6,259结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her dominant showings in recent polls among likely GOP primary voters. A Targoz Market Research/Beacon Center survey from April 20-27 (released early May) gave her 63%, well ahead of U.S. Rep. John Rose at 10% and state Rep. Monty Fritts at 5%, expanding on a March Cygnal poll's 58-7% spread. Rose launched a $1 million ad campaign last week to boost visibility, but limited polling traction keeps challengers marginal amid Blackburn's superior name recognition, fundraising, and conservative credentials in the crowded field post-March filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$6,259结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her dominant showings in recent polls among likely GOP primary voters. A Targoz Market Research/Beacon Center survey from April 20-27 (released early May) gave her 63%, well ahead of U.S. Rep. John Rose at 10% and state Rep. Monty Fritts at 5%, expanding on a March Cygnal poll's 58-7% spread. Rose launched a $1 million ad campaign last week to boost visibility, but limited polling traction keeps challengers marginal amid Blackburn's superior name recognition, fundraising, and conservative credentials in the crowded field post-March filing deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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