Tom Steyer holds a commanding lead in this primary market due to his established base in San Francisco, extensive fundraising as a former presidential candidate and climate advocate, and endorsements from local Democratic figures and organizations focused on environmental policy and affordability measures. Recent polling and primary dynamics showed him consolidating support among voters prioritizing utility reform and housing initiatives, outpacing rivals like Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter in key urban precincts. The top-two primary system and fragmented field further concentrated trader expectations around his position. Even with over 90% implied probability, shifts remain possible from final vote tabulation in San Francisco County, unexpected turnout surges for competitors such as Steve Hilton or Chad Bianco, or late campaign developments affecting Democratic consolidation ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Tom Steyer 96.4%
Steve Hilton 2.5%
Xavier Becerra <1%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
$9,375 交易量
$9,375 交易量
2026-06-02
Tom Steyer
96%
Steve Hilton
3%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Katie Porter
<1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Tom Steyer 96.4%
Steve Hilton 2.5%
Xavier Becerra <1%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
$9,375 交易量
$9,375 交易量
2026-06-02
Tom Steyer
$3,682 交易量
96%
Steve Hilton
$766 交易量
3%
Xavier Becerra
$2,116 交易量
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$1,065 交易量
<1%
Katie Porter
$616 交易量
<1%
Chad Bianco
$542 交易量
<1%
Matt Mahan
$277 交易量
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$311 交易量
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Tom Steyer holds a commanding lead in this primary market due to his established base in San Francisco, extensive fundraising as a former presidential candidate and climate advocate, and endorsements from local Democratic figures and organizations focused on environmental policy and affordability measures. Recent polling and primary dynamics showed him consolidating support among voters prioritizing utility reform and housing initiatives, outpacing rivals like Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter in key urban precincts. The top-two primary system and fragmented field further concentrated trader expectations around his position. Even with over 90% implied probability, shifts remain possible from final vote tabulation in San Francisco County, unexpected turnout surges for competitors such as Steve Hilton or Chad Bianco, or late campaign developments affecting Democratic consolidation ahead of the general election.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
交易量
$9,375结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Tom Steyer holds a commanding lead in this primary market due to his established base in San Francisco, extensive fundraising as a former presidential candidate and climate advocate, and endorsements from local Democratic figures and organizations focused on environmental policy and affordability measures. Recent polling and primary dynamics showed him consolidating support among voters prioritizing utility reform and housing initiatives, outpacing rivals like Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter in key urban precincts. The top-two primary system and fragmented field further concentrated trader expectations around his position. Even with over 90% implied probability, shifts remain possible from final vote tabulation in San Francisco County, unexpected turnout surges for competitors such as Steve Hilton or Chad Bianco, or late campaign developments affecting Democratic consolidation ahead of the general election.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$9,375结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Steyer holds a commanding lead in this primary market due to his established base in San Francisco, extensive fundraising as a former presidential candidate and climate advocate, and endorsements from local Democratic figures and organizations focused on environmental policy and affordability measures. Recent polling and primary dynamics showed him consolidating support among voters prioritizing utility reform and housing initiatives, outpacing rivals like Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter in key urban precincts. The top-two primary system and fragmented field further concentrated trader expectations around his position. Even with over 90% implied probability, shifts remain possible from final vote tabulation in San Francisco County, unexpected turnout surges for competitors such as Steve Hilton or Chad Bianco, or late campaign developments affecting Democratic consolidation ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题