Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,436 交易量
$10,436 交易量
2026-08-04
韦斯利·贝尔
67%
科里·布什
33%
$10,436 交易量
$10,436 交易量
2026-08-04
韦斯利·贝尔
$5,647 交易量
67%
科里·布什
$4,788 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$10,436结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,436结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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