California's June 2 top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field that has split support among candidates including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco draw from a narrower base. Recent polling averages show Hilton and Becerra leading or tied near 18 percent, with Bianco and Steyer close behind, positioning one Democrat and one Republican to advance in most scenarios. Eric Swalwell's mid-April withdrawal amid allegations consolidated Democratic support behind Becerra, who gained ground in late April and May surveys, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton helped consolidate some Republican backing and reduced the risk of a pure Republican outcome. Ballots are now mailing amid low expected turnout and roughly 15-25 percent undecided voters, reinforcing trader consensus around a mixed-party advance under the open primary rules.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党-共和党 73%
民主党-民主党 21%
共和党-共和党 7.1%
$72,156 交易量
$72,156 交易量

民主党-共和党
73%

民主党-民主党
21%

共和党-共和党
7%
民主党-共和党 73%
民主党-民主党 21%
共和党-共和党 7.1%
$72,156 交易量
$72,156 交易量

民主党-共和党
73%

民主党-民主党
21%

共和党-共和党
7%
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市场开放时间: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's June 2 top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field that has split support among candidates including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco draw from a narrower base. Recent polling averages show Hilton and Becerra leading or tied near 18 percent, with Bianco and Steyer close behind, positioning one Democrat and one Republican to advance in most scenarios. Eric Swalwell's mid-April withdrawal amid allegations consolidated Democratic support behind Becerra, who gained ground in late April and May surveys, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton helped consolidate some Republican backing and reduced the risk of a pure Republican outcome. Ballots are now mailing amid low expected turnout and roughly 15-25 percent undecided voters, reinforcing trader consensus around a mixed-party advance under the open primary rules.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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