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icon for 从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?

从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?

icon for 从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?

从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?

民主党-共和党 73%

民主党-民主党 21%

共和党-共和党 7.1%

Polymarket

$72,156 交易量

民主党-共和党 73%

民主党-民主党 21%

共和党-共和党 7.1%

Polymarket

$72,156 交易量

icon for 民主党-共和党

民主党-共和党

$30,397 交易量

73%

icon for 民主党-民主党

民主党-民主党

$30,012 交易量

21%

icon for 共和党-共和党

共和党-共和党

$11,747 交易量

7%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's June 2 top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field that has split support among candidates including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco draw from a narrower base. Recent polling averages show Hilton and Becerra leading or tied near 18 percent, with Bianco and Steyer close behind, positioning one Democrat and one Republican to advance in most scenarios. Eric Swalwell's mid-April withdrawal amid allegations consolidated Democratic support behind Becerra, who gained ground in late April and May surveys, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton helped consolidate some Republican backing and reduced the risk of a pure Republican outcome. Ballots are now mailing amid low expected turnout and roughly 15-25 percent undecided voters, reinforcing trader consensus around a mixed-party advance under the open primary rules.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$72,156
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's June 2 top-two primary features a crowded Democratic field that has split support among candidates including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco draw from a narrower base. Recent polling averages show Hilton and Becerra leading or tied near 18 percent, with Bianco and Steyer close behind, positioning one Democrat and one Republican to advance in most scenarios. Eric Swalwell's mid-April withdrawal amid allegations consolidated Democratic support behind Becerra, who gained ground in late April and May surveys, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton helped consolidate some Republican backing and reduced the risk of a pure Republican outcome. Ballots are now mailing amid low expected turnout and roughly 15-25 percent undecided voters, reinforcing trader consensus around a mixed-party advance under the open primary rules.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$72,156
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"民主党-共和党",概率为 73%,其次是"民主党-民主党",概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?"已产生 $72.2K 的总交易量(自Dec 22, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?"的当前领先者是"民主党-共和党",概率为 73%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"民主党-民主党",概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"从加利福尼亚州州长初选晋升的派对?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。