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icon for 秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名

秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名

icon for 秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名

秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名

马里奥·比斯卡拉 <1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌 <1%

何塞·卢纳 <1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马 <1%

Polymarket

$6,326,209 交易量

马里奥·比斯卡拉 <1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌 <1%

何塞·卢纳 <1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马 <1%

Polymarket

$6,326,209 交易量

icon for 马里奥·比斯卡拉

马里奥·比斯卡拉

$31,205 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌

$101,197 交易量

<1%

icon for 何塞·卢纳

何塞·卢纳

$23,027 交易量

<1%

icon for 恩里克·巴尔德拉马

恩里克·巴尔德拉马

$20,433 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡洛斯·埃斯帕

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$26,528 交易量

<1%

icon for 拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨

$18,794 交易量

<1%

icon for 梅西亚斯·格瓦拉

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉

$22,801 交易量

<1%

icon for 乔治·福赛思

乔治·福赛思

$22,370 交易量

<1%

icon for 菲奥雷拉·莫利内利

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利

$21,387 交易量

<1%

icon for 豪尔赫·涅托

豪尔赫·涅托

$440,321 交易量

<1%

icon for 塞萨尔·阿库尼亚

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚

$22,997 交易量

<1%

icon for 何塞·威廉姆斯

何塞·威廉姆斯

$22,855 交易量

<1%

icon for 里卡多·贝尔蒙特

里卡多·贝尔蒙特

$216,721 交易量

<1%

icon for 藤森惠子

藤森惠子

$415,866 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯

$95,203 交易量

<1%

icon for 弗拉迪米尔·塞龙

弗拉迪米尔·塞龙

$22,326 交易量

<1%

icon for 罗伯托·基亚布拉

罗伯托·基亚布拉

$21,944 交易量

<1%

icon for 费尔南多·奥利韦拉

费尔南多·奥利韦拉

$22,599 交易量

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$31,742 交易量

<1%

icon for 马里索尔·佩雷斯·特略

马里索尔·佩雷斯·特略

$22,638 交易量

<1%

icon for 沃尔夫冈·格罗佐

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐

$22,250 交易量

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place in Peru’s April 12, 2026 first-round presidential election through strong rural and southern support that lifted his share to roughly 12 percent as final tallies were completed. Official counts from the National Office of Electoral Processes placed him narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga after a month-long tabulation, confirming advancement to the June 7 runoff against Keiko Fujimori. Traders assign near-certainty to Sánchez because the margin has held above 15,000 votes with more than 99 percent of ballots certified. The outcome reflects consolidation of leftist and anti-establishment voters behind the Juntos por el Perú candidate despite legal proceedings against him. Remaining uncertainty centers on any final procedural challenges by trailing campaigns before the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones issues its definitive proclamation.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$6,326,209
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place in Peru’s April 12, 2026 first-round presidential election through strong rural and southern support that lifted his share to roughly 12 percent as final tallies were completed. Official counts from the National Office of Electoral Processes placed him narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga after a month-long tabulation, confirming advancement to the June 7 runoff against Keiko Fujimori. Traders assign near-certainty to Sánchez because the margin has held above 15,000 votes with more than 99 percent of ballots certified. The outcome reflects consolidation of leftist and anti-establishment voters behind the Juntos por el Perú candidate despite legal proceedings against him. Remaining uncertainty centers on any final procedural challenges by trailing campaigns before the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones issues its definitive proclamation.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$6,326,209
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 23 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺",概率为 100%,其次是"马里奥·比斯卡拉",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名"已产生 $6.3 million 的总交易量(自Mar 20, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 23 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名"的当前领先者是"罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"马里奥·比斯卡拉",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"秘鲁总统选举第一轮:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。