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世界·全球选举

斯洛文尼亚下任总理

icon for 斯洛文尼亚下任总理
世界·全球选举

斯洛文尼亚下任总理

Janez Janša 91.8%

耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨 1.9%

安热·洛加尔 1.3%

罗伯特·戈洛布 1.1%

Polymarket

$2,973,829 交易量

Janez Janša 91.8%

耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨 1.9%

安热·洛加尔 1.3%

罗伯特·戈洛布 1.1%

Polymarket

$2,973,829 交易量

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$767,677 交易量

92%

icon for 耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨

耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨

$198,541 交易量

2%

icon for 安热·洛加尔

安热·洛加尔

$988,445 交易量

1%

icon for 罗伯特·戈洛布

罗伯特·戈洛布

$655,468 交易量

1%

icon for 弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇

弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇

$181,166 交易量

<1%

icon for 卢卡·梅塞茨

卢卡·梅塞茨

$10,527 交易量

<1%

icon for 马特亚日·汉

马特亚日·汉

$20,169 交易量

<1%

icon for 马特耶·托宁

马特耶·托宁

$14,615 交易量

<1%

icon for 佐兰·斯特瓦诺维奇

佐兰·斯特瓦诺维奇

$137,224 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections, where Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement narrowly led but failed to secure a coalition by April 20, trader consensus has solidified around Janez Janša of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 92% implied probability for next prime minister. President Nataša Pirc Musar tasked lawmakers on April 25 to nominate a viable candidate amid stalled talks, propelling Janša's center-right negotiations with the Democratic Party (Demokrati) and the NSi–SLS–Fokus alliance, which reached 95% agreement completion as of May 12. This momentum, reflecting SDS's strong post-election positioning and cross-party support for a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, drives the commanding odds. Realistic challenges include final negotiation breakdowns, a failed confidence vote, presidential rejection, or deadlock triggering snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,973,829
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections, where Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement narrowly led but failed to secure a coalition by April 20, trader consensus has solidified around Janez Janša of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 92% implied probability for next prime minister. President Nataša Pirc Musar tasked lawmakers on April 25 to nominate a viable candidate amid stalled talks, propelling Janša's center-right negotiations with the Democratic Party (Demokrati) and the NSi–SLS–Fokus alliance, which reached 95% agreement completion as of May 12. This momentum, reflecting SDS's strong post-election positioning and cross-party support for a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, drives the commanding odds. Realistic challenges include final negotiation breakdowns, a failed confidence vote, presidential rejection, or deadlock triggering snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,973,829
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"斯洛文尼亚下任总理"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Janez Janša"，概率为 92%，其次是"耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨"，概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 92¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 92%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"斯洛文尼亚下任总理"已产生 $3 million 的总交易量（自Jan 19, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"斯洛文尼亚下任总理"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"斯洛文尼亚下任总理"的当前领先者是"Janez Janša"，概率为 92%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 92%。紧随其后的结果是"耶尔内·弗尔托韦茨"，概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"斯洛文尼亚下任总理"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。