Recent polling from firms including Sagalytics and Marmarà places Malta’s governing Labour Party ahead of the Nationalist Party by roughly nine to eleven points with voting set for 30 May, placing the five-to-ten percent victory margin at the centre of trader focus. Prime Minister Robert Abela called the snap election to secure a renewed mandate amid regional energy and security pressures, while the opposition continues to trail despite an active campaign. The single transferable vote system and turnout patterns among undecided voters remain the main variables that could compress or widen the final gap before results are certified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 5-10% 47%
Labour Party <5% 23%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.4%
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
47%
Labour Party <5%
23%
Other
7%
Labour Party 5-10% 47%
Labour Party <5% 23%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.4%
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
47%
Labour Party <5%
23%
Other
7%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from firms including Sagalytics and Marmarà places Malta’s governing Labour Party ahead of the Nationalist Party by roughly nine to eleven points with voting set for 30 May, placing the five-to-ten percent victory margin at the centre of trader focus. Prime Minister Robert Abela called the snap election to secure a renewed mandate amid regional energy and security pressures, while the opposition continues to trail despite an active campaign. The single transferable vote system and turnout patterns among undecided voters remain the main variables that could compress or widen the final gap before results are certified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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