Recent polling and campaign dynamics have positioned Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner to join Iván Cepeda Castro in Colombia's May 31 first-round runoff, with traders assigning a 73 percent probability to that pairing. De la Espriella's independent right-wing platform emphasizing security measures has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who secured her party's nomination but trails in surveys showing Cepeda leading overall without a majority. Valencia's pairing with Cepeda holds a 19 percent chance, reflecting her competitive but secondary standing. The low odds on an outright first-round winner or other combinations align with consistent data indicating a fragmented field and a likely June 21 runoff between the top two finishers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 70%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 22%
1st Round Outright Winner 12%
Other 5%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
69%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
22%
1st Round Outright Winner
12%
Other
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
3%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 70%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 22%
1st Round Outright Winner 12%
Other 5%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$154 交易量
69%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$463 交易量
22%
1st Round Outright Winner
$166 交易量
12%
Other
$39 交易量
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$341 交易量
3%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and campaign dynamics have positioned Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner to join Iván Cepeda Castro in Colombia's May 31 first-round runoff, with traders assigning a 73 percent probability to that pairing. De la Espriella's independent right-wing platform emphasizing security measures has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who secured her party's nomination but trails in surveys showing Cepeda leading overall without a majority. Valencia's pairing with Cepeda holds a 19 percent chance, reflecting her competitive but secondary standing. The low odds on an outright first-round winner or other combinations align with consistent data indicating a fragmented field and a likely June 21 runoff between the top two finishers.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$1,162结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and campaign dynamics have positioned Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner to join Iván Cepeda Castro in Colombia's May 31 first-round runoff, with traders assigning a 73 percent probability to that pairing. De la Espriella's independent right-wing platform emphasizing security measures has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who secured her party's nomination but trails in surveys showing Cepeda leading overall without a majority. Valencia's pairing with Cepeda holds a 19 percent chance, reflecting her competitive but secondary standing. The low odds on an outright first-round winner or other combinations align with consistent data indicating a fragmented field and a likely June 21 runoff between the top two finishers.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$1,162结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and campaign dynamics have positioned Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner to join Iván Cepeda Castro in Colombia's May 31 first-round runoff, with traders assigning a 73 percent probability to that pairing. De la Espriella's independent right-wing platform emphasizing security measures has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who secured her party's nomination but trails in surveys showing Cepeda leading overall without a majority. Valencia's pairing with Cepeda holds a 19 percent chance, reflecting her competitive but secondary standing. The low odds on an outright first-round winner or other combinations align with consistent data indicating a fragmented field and a likely June 21 runoff between the top two finishers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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