The competitive three-way presidential race between Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has sustained steady voter engagement ahead of the May 31 first round, with recent polling showing no candidate approaching a majority and a runoff on June 21 now viewed as certain. This dynamic, combined with Colombia’s historical first-round turnout averaging around 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, has positioned the 54-57 percent band as the market’s clearest favorite. No major late-campaign events, such as widespread scandals or exceptional mobilization drives, have emerged in the past month to push participation sharply higher or lower, leaving the range aligned with baseline expectations and recent modeling projections near 55 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
<48%
4%
48-51%
22%
51-54%
23%
54-57%
48%
57-60%
13%
60%+
16%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
<48%
$436 交易量
4%
48-51%
$428 交易量
22%
51-54%
$420 交易量
23%
54-57%
$441 交易量
48%
57-60%
$420 交易量
13%
60%+
$489 交易量
16%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The competitive three-way presidential race between Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has sustained steady voter engagement ahead of the May 31 first round, with recent polling showing no candidate approaching a majority and a runoff on June 21 now viewed as certain. This dynamic, combined with Colombia’s historical first-round turnout averaging around 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, has positioned the 54-57 percent band as the market’s clearest favorite. No major late-campaign events, such as widespread scandals or exceptional mobilization drives, have emerged in the past month to push participation sharply higher or lower, leaving the range aligned with baseline expectations and recent modeling projections near 55 percent.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$2,634结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The competitive three-way presidential race between Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has sustained steady voter engagement ahead of the May 31 first round, with recent polling showing no candidate approaching a majority and a runoff on June 21 now viewed as certain. This dynamic, combined with Colombia’s historical first-round turnout averaging around 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, has positioned the 54-57 percent band as the market’s clearest favorite. No major late-campaign events, such as widespread scandals or exceptional mobilization drives, have emerged in the past month to push participation sharply higher or lower, leaving the range aligned with baseline expectations and recent modeling projections near 55 percent.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$2,634结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive three-way presidential race between Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has sustained steady voter engagement ahead of the May 31 first round, with recent polling showing no candidate approaching a majority and a runoff on June 21 now viewed as certain. This dynamic, combined with Colombia’s historical first-round turnout averaging around 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, has positioned the 54-57 percent band as the market’s clearest favorite. No major late-campaign events, such as widespread scandals or exceptional mobilization drives, have emerged in the past month to push participation sharply higher or lower, leaving the range aligned with baseline expectations and recent modeling projections near 55 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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