Recent polling for the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary shows a fragmented field in which no candidate approaches the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright win under the city’s top-two system. Incumbent Karen Bass leads at roughly 30 percent among likely voters, followed closely by Spencer Pratt at 22 percent and Nithya Raman at 19 percent in the latest Emerson College survey, with the remainder split among other contenders and a shrinking pool of undecided voters. This distribution mirrors earlier UCLA Luskin findings and reflects ongoing voter dissatisfaction with city issues without consolidation behind any single frontrunner. Analysts note that such spreads have historically produced runoffs, aligning with trader consensus that a November contest remains the probable outcome.