Rebecca Bennett commands trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District primary on June 2, driven by key county party endorsements from Hunterdon and Morris Democrats earlier this year, superior small-dollar fundraising, and recent boosts from a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in April plus an enigmatic super PAC's pro-Bennett mailers last week. Her profile as a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive appeals to voters seeking electability against Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in this battleground. A May 13 debate featuring Bennett, Brian Varela, Michael Roth, and Tina Shah highlighted electability and issues like Israel without shifting dynamics, while sparse polls and self-funding keep Varela viable at 20.5% amid his early progressive buzz.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Rebecca Bennett 87%
Brian Varela 16.6%
Michael Roth 6.0%
Tina Shah 4.9%
Rebecca Bennett
82%
Brian Varela
22%
Michael Roth
7%
Tina Shah
5%
Rebecca Bennett 87%
Brian Varela 16.6%
Michael Roth 6.0%
Tina Shah 4.9%
Rebecca Bennett
82%
Brian Varela
22%
Michael Roth
7%
Tina Shah
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebecca Bennett commands trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District primary on June 2, driven by key county party endorsements from Hunterdon and Morris Democrats earlier this year, superior small-dollar fundraising, and recent boosts from a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in April plus an enigmatic super PAC's pro-Bennett mailers last week. Her profile as a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive appeals to voters seeking electability against Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in this battleground. A May 13 debate featuring Bennett, Brian Varela, Michael Roth, and Tina Shah highlighted electability and issues like Israel without shifting dynamics, while sparse polls and self-funding keep Varela viable at 20.5% amid his early progressive buzz.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题