Skip to main content
icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.9%

Polymarket
最新

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.9%

Polymarket
最新

Rebecca Bennett

$661 交易量

82%

Brian Varela

$1,088 交易量

22%

Michael Roth

$1,183 交易量

7%

Tina Shah

$519 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District primary on June 2, driven by key county party endorsements from Hunterdon and Morris Democrats earlier this year, superior small-dollar fundraising, and recent boosts from a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in April plus an enigmatic super PAC's pro-Bennett mailers last week. Her profile as a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive appeals to voters seeking electability against Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in this battleground. A May 13 debate featuring Bennett, Brian Varela, Michael Roth, and Tina Shah highlighted electability and issues like Israel without shifting dynamics, while sparse polls and self-funding keep Varela viable at 20.5% amid his early progressive buzz.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,450
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District primary on June 2, driven by key county party endorsements from Hunterdon and Morris Democrats earlier this year, superior small-dollar fundraising, and recent boosts from a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in April plus an enigmatic super PAC's pro-Bennett mailers last week. Her profile as a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive appeals to voters seeking electability against Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in this battleground. A May 13 debate featuring Bennett, Brian Varela, Michael Roth, and Tina Shah highlighted electability and issues like Israel without shifting dynamics, while sparse polls and self-funding keep Varela viable at 20.5% amid his early progressive buzz.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,450
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Rebecca Bennett",概率为 82%,其次是"Brian Varela",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 82¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 82%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"Rebecca Bennett",概率为 82%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 82%。紧随其后的结果是"Brian Varela",概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。