The Democratic Party of Korea holds polling leads in several major races ahead of the June 3 local elections, including Seoul and Busan where its nominees face established People Power Party incumbents following the close of candidate registration. With the party controlling the presidency and National Assembly, recent campaign activity has centered on regional development and housing pledges that reinforce advantages in traditional strongholds while leaving contests in areas such as Gyeonggi and Jeonbuk more competitive. These dynamics position trader consensus around 11 to 13 wins out of the 17 total mayor and governor races, as historical base rates and current swing-state trends limit expectations of a complete sweep yet make outcomes below 10 less probable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于11 42.9%
12 26%
14 16%
13 13%
≤10
10%
11
30%
12
40%
13
13%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
11 42.9%
12 26%
14 16%
13 13%
≤10
10%
11
30%
12
40%
13
13%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party of Korea holds polling leads in several major races ahead of the June 3 local elections, including Seoul and Busan where its nominees face established People Power Party incumbents following the close of candidate registration. With the party controlling the presidency and National Assembly, recent campaign activity has centered on regional development and housing pledges that reinforce advantages in traditional strongholds while leaving contests in areas such as Gyeonggi and Jeonbuk more competitive. These dynamics position trader consensus around 11 to 13 wins out of the 17 total mayor and governor races, as historical base rates and current swing-state trends limit expectations of a complete sweep yet make outcomes below 10 less probable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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