Recent polling trends position Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, where Iván Cepeda leads overall as the Historic Pact candidate seeking continuity with the current administration. Conservative voters remain split between de la Espriella’s independent hardline security platform and Paloma Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center candidacy after she prevailed in interparty primaries. This fragmentation, combined with de la Espriella’s stronger showings against Valencia in recent surveys, has shaped trader assessments reflected in current market pricing. Other contenders trail far behind, leaving limited scope for shifts before election day unless late consolidation occurs among right-leaning blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Abelardo de la Espriella 73%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%
Claudia López <1%
$90,127 交易量
$90,127 交易量
Abelardo de la Espriella
73%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 73%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%
Claudia López <1%
$90,127 交易量
$90,127 交易量
Abelardo de la Espriella
73%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, where Iván Cepeda leads overall as the Historic Pact candidate seeking continuity with the current administration. Conservative voters remain split between de la Espriella’s independent hardline security platform and Paloma Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center candidacy after she prevailed in interparty primaries. This fragmentation, combined with de la Espriella’s stronger showings against Valencia in recent surveys, has shaped trader assessments reflected in current market pricing. Other contenders trail far behind, leaving limited scope for shifts before election day unless late consolidation occurs among right-leaning blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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