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icon for 秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者

秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者

icon for 秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者

秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者

藤森惠子 100.0%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 <1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙 <1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利 <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 交易量

藤森惠子 100.0%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 <1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙 <1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利 <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 交易量

icon for 拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加

$386,271 交易量

icon for 弗拉基米尔·塞龙

弗拉基米尔·塞龙

$23,181 交易量

icon for 菲奥雷拉·莫利内利

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利

$20,542 交易量

icon for 卡洛斯·埃斯帕

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$39,378 交易量

icon for 荣希·莱斯卡诺

荣希·莱斯卡诺

$26,878 交易量

icon for 罗贝托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺

罗贝托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺

$219,739 交易量

icon for 藤森惠子

藤森惠子

$945,470 交易量

icon for 罗伯托·奇亚布拉

罗伯托·奇亚布拉

$19,821 交易量

icon for 何塞·威廉姆斯

何塞·威廉姆斯

$24,448 交易量

icon for 费尔南多·奥利韦拉

费尔南多·奥利韦拉

$19,372 交易量

icon for 拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨

$27,488 交易量

icon for 玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略

$41,515 交易量

icon for 马里奥·比斯卡拉

马里奥·比斯卡拉

$16,997 交易量

icon for 塞萨尔·阿库尼亚

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚

$23,764 交易量

icon for 何塞·卢纳

何塞·卢纳

$13,835 交易量

icon for 豪尔赫·涅托

豪尔赫·涅托

$195,412 交易量

icon for 沃尔夫冈·格罗佐

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐

$17,108 交易量

icon for 卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯

$159,265 交易量

icon for 阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌

$106,007 交易量

icon for 乔治·福赛思

乔治·福赛思

$10,668 交易量

icon for 恩里克·巴尔德拉马

恩里克·巴尔德拉马

$8,790 交易量

icon for 里卡多·贝尔蒙特

里卡多·贝尔蒙特

$204,210 交易量

icon for 梅西亚斯·格瓦拉

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉

$11,193 交易量

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori secured a decisive lead in Peru’s April 2026 first-round presidential vote, finishing well ahead of Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga according to near-complete official tallies. Her established congressional network, repeated national candidacies, and positioning on security and economic issues consolidated conservative support amid a crowded field of more than 30 contenders. With over 99 percent of ballots counted and no realistic path for challengers to close the gap, traders assign her virtually certain status as first-round winner ahead of the June 7 runoff. Only unresolved certification disputes or last-minute legal interventions in the remaining fraction of votes could alter the outcome.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$2,561,354
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori secured a decisive lead in Peru’s April 2026 first-round presidential vote, finishing well ahead of Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga according to near-complete official tallies. Her established congressional network, repeated national candidacies, and positioning on security and economic issues consolidated conservative support amid a crowded field of more than 30 contenders. With over 99 percent of ballots counted and no realistic path for challengers to close the gap, traders assign her virtually certain status as first-round winner ahead of the June 7 runoff. Only unresolved certification disputes or last-minute legal interventions in the remaining fraction of votes could alter the outcome.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$2,561,354
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 23 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"藤森惠子",概率为 100%,其次是"拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者"已产生 $2.6 million 的总交易量(自Mar 20, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 23 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者"的当前领先者是"藤森惠子",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"秘鲁总统选举首轮胜利者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。