Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo secured a dominant share of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary vote in California's 16th congressional district, advancing alongside the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history, contributed to limited competition for the incumbent. Two Republican candidates split the opposition vote, preventing either from challenging the top spot, while a no-party-preference candidate trailed further behind. With the primary concluded and results reported across nearly all precincts, trader consensus on the advancing pair aligns with the certified outcome and the structural advantages of incumbency in this solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于CA-16 Primary Winners
CA-16 Primary Winners
$1,635 交易量
2026-06-02
Sam Liccardo
99%
Peter Sundin Soulé
95%
Jotham Stein
<1%
Kevin Johnson
42%
$1,635 交易量
Sam Liccardo
$225 交易量
99%
Peter Sundin Soulé
$151 交易量
95%
Jotham Stein
$424 交易量
<1%
Kevin Johnson
$836 交易量
42%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo secured a dominant share of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary vote in California's 16th congressional district, advancing alongside the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history, contributed to limited competition for the incumbent. Two Republican candidates split the opposition vote, preventing either from challenging the top spot, while a no-party-preference candidate trailed further behind. With the primary concluded and results reported across nearly all precincts, trader consensus on the advancing pair aligns with the certified outcome and the structural advantages of incumbency in this solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,635结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo secured a dominant share of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary vote in California's 16th congressional district, advancing alongside the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history, contributed to limited competition for the incumbent. Two Republican candidates split the opposition vote, preventing either from challenging the top spot, while a no-party-preference candidate trailed further behind. With the primary concluded and results reported across nearly all precincts, trader consensus on the advancing pair aligns with the certified outcome and the structural advantages of incumbency in this solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,635结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo secured a dominant share of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary vote in California's 16th congressional district, advancing alongside the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history, contributed to limited competition for the incumbent. Two Republican candidates split the opposition vote, preventing either from challenging the top spot, while a no-party-preference candidate trailed further behind. With the primary concluded and results reported across nearly all precincts, trader consensus on the advancing pair aligns with the certified outcome and the structural advantages of incumbency in this solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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