Paxton's commanding position in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff margin market reflects his decisive 28-point victory over incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, with final tallies showing Paxton at roughly 64% to Cornyn's 36%. This outcome followed a tight March primary and stemmed primarily from strong mobilization of Paxton's base after President Trump's late endorsement, combined with a sharp drop in Cornyn turnout that exceeded pre-runoff polling expectations. Trader consensus around the 25-30% bracket aligns with these verified results and historical patterns of incumbent challenges in Texas GOP contests. Limited probabilities on other brackets account for potential minor certification adjustments, though no significant disputes have emerged to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paxton 25–30% 99.4%
Paxton 30%+ <1%
Paxton 20–25% <1%
Paxton 15–20% <1%
$137,569 交易量
$137,569 交易量
2026-05-26
Paxton 30%+
1%
Paxton 25–30%
99%
Paxton 20–25%
<1%
Paxton 15–20%
<1%
Paxton 10–15%
<1%
Paxton 5–10%
<1%
Paxton 0–5%
<1%
Cornyn Win
<1%
Other
<1%
Paxton 25–30% 99.4%
Paxton 30%+ <1%
Paxton 20–25% <1%
Paxton 15–20% <1%
$137,569 交易量
$137,569 交易量
2026-05-26
Paxton 30%+
$41,717 交易量
1%
Paxton 25–30%
$21,598 交易量
99%
Paxton 20–25%
$11,777 交易量
<1%
Paxton 15–20%
$16,977 交易量
<1%
Paxton 10–15%
$17,944 交易量
<1%
Paxton 5–10%
$9,695 交易量
<1%
Paxton 0–5%
$13,840 交易量
<1%
Cornyn Win
$1,450 交易量
<1%
Other
$2,572 交易量
<1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Paxton's commanding position in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff margin market reflects his decisive 28-point victory over incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, with final tallies showing Paxton at roughly 64% to Cornyn's 36%. This outcome followed a tight March primary and stemmed primarily from strong mobilization of Paxton's base after President Trump's late endorsement, combined with a sharp drop in Cornyn turnout that exceeded pre-runoff polling expectations. Trader consensus around the 25-30% bracket aligns with these verified results and historical patterns of incumbent challenges in Texas GOP contests. Limited probabilities on other brackets account for potential minor certification adjustments, though no significant disputes have emerged to date.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$137,569结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Paxton's commanding position in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff margin market reflects his decisive 28-point victory over incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, with final tallies showing Paxton at roughly 64% to Cornyn's 36%. This outcome followed a tight March primary and stemmed primarily from strong mobilization of Paxton's base after President Trump's late endorsement, combined with a sharp drop in Cornyn turnout that exceeded pre-runoff polling expectations. Trader consensus around the 25-30% bracket aligns with these verified results and historical patterns of incumbent challenges in Texas GOP contests. Limited probabilities on other brackets account for potential minor certification adjustments, though no significant disputes have emerged to date.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$137,569结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paxton's commanding position in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff margin market reflects his decisive 28-point victory over incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, with final tallies showing Paxton at roughly 64% to Cornyn's 36%. This outcome followed a tight March primary and stemmed primarily from strong mobilization of Paxton's base after President Trump's late endorsement, combined with a sharp drop in Cornyn turnout that exceeded pre-runoff polling expectations. Trader consensus around the 25-30% bracket aligns with these verified results and historical patterns of incumbent challenges in Texas GOP contests. Limited probabilities on other brackets account for potential minor certification adjustments, though no significant disputes have emerged to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题