Intense negative advertising and record spending by incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and his Senate allies have defined the final weeks of the Texas Republican primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, yet recent University of Houston polling shows the contest remains statistically tied at 48-45 percent with just 7 percent undecided. Voters have largely consolidated behind their March primary choices, limiting late shifts despite Cornyn’s four-to-one financial edge and personal attacks on Paxton’s record. This polarized electorate and absence of a decisive endorsement or major event in the closing days keep victory margins narrow, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes under 9 points for either candidate ahead of the May 26 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于帕克斯顿 6–9% 23%
科宁 <3% 20.7%
帕克斯顿9%+ 16.3%
帕克斯顿 3–6% 14%
$59,276 交易量
$59,276 交易量
2026-05-25
帕克斯顿9%+
16%
帕克斯顿 6–9%
23%
帕克斯顿 3–6%
14%
帕克斯顿 <3%
11%
科宁 <3%
21%
科宁 3–6%
7%
科宁 6–9%
5%
科宁9%+
10%
帕克斯顿 6–9% 23%
科宁 <3% 20.7%
帕克斯顿9%+ 16.3%
帕克斯顿 3–6% 14%
$59,276 交易量
$59,276 交易量
2026-05-25
帕克斯顿9%+
$11,915 交易量
16%
帕克斯顿 6–9%
$6,727 交易量
23%
帕克斯顿 3–6%
$5,750 交易量
14%
帕克斯顿 <3%
$7,085 交易量
11%
科宁 <3%
$5,174 交易量
21%
科宁 3–6%
$5,243 交易量
7%
科宁 6–9%
$5,306 交易量
5%
科宁9%+
$12,076 交易量
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Intense negative advertising and record spending by incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and his Senate allies have defined the final weeks of the Texas Republican primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, yet recent University of Houston polling shows the contest remains statistically tied at 48-45 percent with just 7 percent undecided. Voters have largely consolidated behind their March primary choices, limiting late shifts despite Cornyn’s four-to-one financial edge and personal attacks on Paxton’s record. This polarized electorate and absence of a decisive endorsement or major event in the closing days keep victory margins narrow, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes under 9 points for either candidate ahead of the May 26 vote.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$59,276结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Intense negative advertising and record spending by incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and his Senate allies have defined the final weeks of the Texas Republican primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, yet recent University of Houston polling shows the contest remains statistically tied at 48-45 percent with just 7 percent undecided. Voters have largely consolidated behind their March primary choices, limiting late shifts despite Cornyn’s four-to-one financial edge and personal attacks on Paxton’s record. This polarized electorate and absence of a decisive endorsement or major event in the closing days keep victory margins narrow, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes under 9 points for either candidate ahead of the May 26 vote.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$59,276结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense negative advertising and record spending by incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and his Senate allies have defined the final weeks of the Texas Republican primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, yet recent University of Houston polling shows the contest remains statistically tied at 48-45 percent with just 7 percent undecided. Voters have largely consolidated behind their March primary choices, limiting late shifts despite Cornyn’s four-to-one financial edge and personal attacks on Paxton’s record. This polarized electorate and absence of a decisive endorsement or major event in the closing days keep victory margins narrow, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes under 9 points for either candidate ahead of the May 26 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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