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icon for 俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际

俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际

icon for 俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际

俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际

拉马斯瓦米 60-70% 99.4%

拉马斯瓦米 70%+ <1%

拉马斯瓦米 <30% <1%

拉马斯瓦米30-40% <1%

Polymarket

$66,212 交易量

拉马斯瓦米 60-70% 99.4%

拉马斯瓦米 70%+ <1%

拉马斯瓦米 <30% <1%

拉马斯瓦米30-40% <1%

Polymarket

$66,212 交易量

拉马斯瓦米 <30%

$4,024 交易量

<1%

拉马斯瓦米30-40%

$2,310 交易量

<1%

拉马斯瓦米 40-50%

$2,770 交易量

<1%

拉马斯瓦米 50-60%

$10,690 交易量

<1%

拉马斯瓦米 60-70%

$13,477 交易量

99%

拉马斯瓦米 70%+

$31,620 交易量

1%

其他

$1,321 交易量

<1%

The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for a 60-70% share of the vote in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strong endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Mike DeWine, along with significant early fundraising that dwarfed minor challengers like Casey Putsch. These factors created a clear path to a decisive primary win in a state where Republican voters have shown strong preference for high-profile, Trump-aligned candidates in recent cycles. The market reflects this established momentum while acknowledging uncertainty around final turnout and any late shifts in voter sentiment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpectedly strong showing by underfunded opponents or last-minute developments that energize the base differently than anticipated.

The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$66,212
结束日期
2026-05-05
市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for a 60-70% share of the vote in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his strong endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Mike DeWine, along with significant early fundraising that dwarfed minor challengers like Casey Putsch. These factors created a clear path to a decisive primary win in a state where Republican voters have shown strong preference for high-profile, Trump-aligned candidates in recent cycles. The market reflects this established momentum while acknowledging uncertainty around final turnout and any late shifts in voter sentiment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpectedly strong showing by underfunded opponents or last-minute developments that energize the base differently than anticipated.

The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$66,212
结束日期
2026-05-05
市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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常见问题

"俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉马斯瓦米 60-70%",概率为 99%,其次是"拉马斯瓦米 50-60%",概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际"已产生 $66.2K 的总交易量(自May 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际"的当前领先者是"拉马斯瓦米 60-70%",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"拉马斯瓦米 50-60%",概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄亥俄州州长共和党初选:胜利边际"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。