Ryan Fazio secured the Republican nomination for Connecticut governor through a dominant 92% endorsement at the state convention in May 2026, after which rival Erin Stewart withdrew amid fraud allegations and endorsed him, while Betsy McCaughey fell short of the 15% threshold needed to force an August primary. The resulting uncontested primary on August 11 left Fazio as the sole nominee advancing to the general election against incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this procedural consolidation and absence of viable challengers. Limited scenarios that could still shift the outcome include any successful post-election challenges to ballot access or convention results, though historical precedent shows such reversals are rare once the primary concludes.