US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-16
6月15日
29%
6月22日
44%
6月30日
57%
7月31日
65%
$110 交易量
6月15日
$7 交易量
29%
6月22日
$97 交易量
44%
6月30日
$0 交易量
57%
7月31日
$6 交易量
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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