US-Iran negotiations have intensified in recent days amid efforts to convert a fragile ceasefire into a memorandum of understanding addressing the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear restrictions, and sanctions relief, with President Trump stating on June 13 that an agreement could be signed imminently and signaling openness to higher-level engagement if terms align. Indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan have produced reported draft texts, though Iranian officials have rejected premature claims of finalization and noted the need for further approvals, while a senior Emirati-Iranian meeting occurred on June 11 to address regional tensions. These developments occur against the backdrop of the G7 summit next week, which traders view as a potential venue for any signing or follow-on diplomatic contact before the June 30 window closes. Uncertainty persists over whether indirect channels will yield a direct or in-person meeting involving US representatives and Iranian counterparts, or if procedural delays and last-minute amendments will push resolution later.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$49,684 交易量
Steve Witkoff
53%
Jared Kushner
50%
J.D. Vance
32%
Marco Rubio
11%
Donald Trump
5%
$49,684 交易量
Steve Witkoff
53%
Jared Kushner
50%
J.D. Vance
32%
Marco Rubio
11%
Donald Trump
5%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations have intensified in recent days amid efforts to convert a fragile ceasefire into a memorandum of understanding addressing the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear restrictions, and sanctions relief, with President Trump stating on June 13 that an agreement could be signed imminently and signaling openness to higher-level engagement if terms align. Indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan have produced reported draft texts, though Iranian officials have rejected premature claims of finalization and noted the need for further approvals, while a senior Emirati-Iranian meeting occurred on June 11 to address regional tensions. These developments occur against the backdrop of the G7 summit next week, which traders view as a potential venue for any signing or follow-on diplomatic contact before the June 30 window closes. Uncertainty persists over whether indirect channels will yield a direct or in-person meeting involving US representatives and Iranian counterparts, or if procedural delays and last-minute amendments will push resolution later.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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