**Recent US sanctions enforcement and a naval blockade on Iranian ports have sharply curtailed oil exports since mid-April 2026, cutting revenues and limiting hard-currency inflows that support the rial.** Iranian crude output and shipments fell notably in April–May amid tighter restrictions targeting China-bound trade and shadow fleets, while domestic inflation and multiple exchange-rate pressures continue to drive demand for dollars. These supply constraints and economic strains have kept the free-market USD/IRR rate elevated near or above 1.37 million rials, with peaks reported earlier in the year. Traders price the likelihood of further depreciation by June 30 against any diplomatic easing, oil-waiver extensions, or policy responses from Tehran that could stabilize inflows before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$90,304 交易量
↑ 2.0M
7%
↑ 1.9M
18%
↑ 1.8M
41%
↓ 1.7M
64%
↓ 1.6M
27%
↓ 1.5M
12%
$90,304 交易量
↑ 2.0M
7%
↑ 1.9M
18%
↑ 1.8M
41%
↓ 1.7M
64%
↓ 1.6M
27%
↓ 1.5M
12%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent US sanctions enforcement and a naval blockade on Iranian ports have sharply curtailed oil exports since mid-April 2026, cutting revenues and limiting hard-currency inflows that support the rial.** Iranian crude output and shipments fell notably in April–May amid tighter restrictions targeting China-bound trade and shadow fleets, while domestic inflation and multiple exchange-rate pressures continue to drive demand for dollars. These supply constraints and economic strains have kept the free-market USD/IRR rate elevated near or above 1.37 million rials, with peaks reported earlier in the year. Traders price the likelihood of further depreciation by June 30 against any diplomatic easing, oil-waiver extensions, or policy responses from Tehran that could stabilize inflows before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题