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预测与赔率

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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

27%

December 31

$14M 交易量

$498K today

$464K Liq.

147

Ends 8 个月内

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

45%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$270K Liq.

118

Ends 8 个月内

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

50%

$185K 交易量

$33.6K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

6%

$608K 交易量

$24.2K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

23%

$1M 交易量

$37.2K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$1M 交易量

$103K today

$207K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

94%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

123

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

33

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K 交易量

$40.0K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$665K 交易量

$23.2K Liq.

21

Ends 大约 1 个月前

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

43%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

9%

$192K 交易量

$19.5K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

65%

$557K 交易量

$23.7K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

5%

December 31, 2026

$1M 交易量

$28.0K Liq.

7

Ends 大约 1 个月前

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

50%

↓ 75,000

$14M 交易量

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 18 天内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

15%

↑ 0.30

$301K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

13

Ends 8 个月内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

10

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

68%

↑ 90,000

$36M 交易量

$70.5K today

$2M Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 铀 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 110 个活跃的 铀 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $81.6M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?",市场目前认为 ↓ 85,000 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 铀 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。