Despite recent threats from Iranian officials—issued about five days ago in response to U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on its territory—Iran has taken no formal steps under NPT Article X to withdraw, requiring three months' notice citing supreme national interests. Parliament fast-tracked a withdrawal bill in late March amid escalating West Asia conflict, but it stalled without passage, echoing unfulfilled threats since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards on its nuclear facilities and engages constructively at the ongoing NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22, 2026), prioritizing diplomacy over exit. Traders' 93% "No" consensus reflects procedural barriers, historical restraint, and potential for de-escalation via negotiations, though major escalation or failed conference could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$119,499 交易量
$119,499 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$119,499 交易量
$119,499 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite recent threats from Iranian officials—issued about five days ago in response to U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on its territory—Iran has taken no formal steps under NPT Article X to withdraw, requiring three months' notice citing supreme national interests. Parliament fast-tracked a withdrawal bill in late March amid escalating West Asia conflict, but it stalled without passage, echoing unfulfilled threats since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards on its nuclear facilities and engages constructively at the ongoing NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22, 2026), prioritizing diplomacy over exit. Traders' 93% "No" consensus reflects procedural barriers, historical restraint, and potential for de-escalation via negotiations, though major escalation or failed conference could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
交易量
$119,499结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite recent threats from Iranian officials—issued about five days ago in response to U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on its territory—Iran has taken no formal steps under NPT Article X to withdraw, requiring three months' notice citing supreme national interests. Parliament fast-tracked a withdrawal bill in late March amid escalating West Asia conflict, but it stalled without passage, echoing unfulfilled threats since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards on its nuclear facilities and engages constructively at the ongoing NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22, 2026), prioritizing diplomacy over exit. Traders' 93% "No" consensus reflects procedural barriers, historical restraint, and potential for de-escalation via negotiations, though major escalation or failed conference could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$119,499结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite recent threats from Iranian officials—issued about five days ago in response to U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on its territory—Iran has taken no formal steps under NPT Article X to withdraw, requiring three months' notice citing supreme national interests. Parliament fast-tracked a withdrawal bill in late March amid escalating West Asia conflict, but it stalled without passage, echoing unfulfilled threats since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards on its nuclear facilities and engages constructively at the ongoing NPT Review Conference (April 27–May 22, 2026), prioritizing diplomacy over exit. Traders' 93% "No" consensus reflects procedural barriers, historical restraint, and potential for de-escalation via negotiations, though major escalation or failed conference could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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