Iranian lawmakers have registered multiple proposals for NPT withdrawal amid ongoing tensions with the United States and Israel, including calls from hardline factions and some broader parliamentary support following 2025-2026 conflicts and IAEA resolutions. Senior officials, however, including members of the Supreme National Security Council, have described such a step as not an immediate priority, with the government maintaining its official stance against nuclear weapons development and continued treaty membership. Ongoing Qatari-mediated diplomacy and internal reviews of nuclear proposals further signal preference for negotiation over exit. These factors sustain trader consensus around a 93% implied probability against withdrawal before 2027, reflecting the procedural barriers, need for highest-level consensus, and three-month notice requirement under NPT Article X.