U.S. and Israeli airstrikes in 2025 and early 2026 damaged or buried key Iranian enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, while also targeting weaponization-related facilities, leaving Iran's uranium stockpile inaccessible and its infrastructure degraded according to IAEA updates and U.S. assessments. Iran has not resumed enrichment since those operations, and recent Doha talks through July 2026 have focused on limits to the program alongside Strait of Hormuz issues under a signed memorandum reaffirming no nuclear weapons pursuit. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an Iranian nuclear device before 2027 reflects these verified setbacks and verification barriers. Potential shifts could stem from collapsed negotiations, undetected reconstruction efforts, or renewed military escalation within the remaining timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,233,062 交易量
$1,233,062 交易量
是
$1,233,062 交易量
$1,233,062 交易量
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. and Israeli airstrikes in 2025 and early 2026 damaged or buried key Iranian enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, while also targeting weaponization-related facilities, leaving Iran's uranium stockpile inaccessible and its infrastructure degraded according to IAEA updates and U.S. assessments. Iran has not resumed enrichment since those operations, and recent Doha talks through July 2026 have focused on limits to the program alongside Strait of Hormuz issues under a signed memorandum reaffirming no nuclear weapons pursuit. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an Iranian nuclear device before 2027 reflects these verified setbacks and verification barriers. Potential shifts could stem from collapsed negotiations, undetected reconstruction efforts, or renewed military escalation within the remaining timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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