Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$169,153 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$169,153 交易量
12月31日
$151,317 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
交易量
$169,153结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$169,153结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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