Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$169,141 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$169,141 交易量
12月31日
$151,305 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
交易量
$169,141结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$169,141结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's ongoing war with Russia has kept domestic political focus on external defense and diplomatic negotiations rather than internal power transitions, with recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and port facilities in August 2026 reinforcing military cohesion under President Zelenskyy. No verified coup plots or elite fractures have surfaced since the thwarted 2024 allegations, and martial law continues to suspend elections while prioritizing wartime unity. Trader pricing reflects these conditions, assigning low probability to a coup attempt by year-end amid active hostilities and ongoing U.S.-European security talks. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or shifts in ceasefire proposals could introduce volatility if they highlight economic strains or opposition divisions, though historical patterns during sustained conflicts show internal challenges remain rare without acute leadership vacuums or major battlefield reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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