Traders see minimal risk of a coup attempt in China before 2027 because the Chinese Communist Party maintains centralized control through Xi Jinping’s leadership, with the People’s Liberation Army showing consistent loyalty and no evident factional splits. Extensive internal security measures, elite purges, and surveillance systems have suppressed organized opposition in recent years. No major leadership crises or military defections have surfaced in the past several months to alter this assessment. Extreme economic shocks or sudden health developments could theoretically create openings, yet institutional structures and historical patterns of stability continue to support the prevailing low probability reflected in current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$153,907 交易量
$153,907 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$153,907 交易量
$153,907 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see minimal risk of a coup attempt in China before 2027 because the Chinese Communist Party maintains centralized control through Xi Jinping’s leadership, with the People’s Liberation Army showing consistent loyalty and no evident factional splits. Extensive internal security measures, elite purges, and surveillance systems have suppressed organized opposition in recent years. No major leadership crises or military defections have surfaced in the past several months to alter this assessment. Extreme economic shocks or sudden health developments could theoretically create openings, yet institutional structures and historical patterns of stability continue to support the prevailing low probability reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$153,907结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see minimal risk of a coup attempt in China before 2027 because the Chinese Communist Party maintains centralized control through Xi Jinping’s leadership, with the People’s Liberation Army showing consistent loyalty and no evident factional splits. Extensive internal security measures, elite purges, and surveillance systems have suppressed organized opposition in recent years. No major leadership crises or military defections have surfaced in the past several months to alter this assessment. Extreme economic shocks or sudden health developments could theoretically create openings, yet institutional structures and historical patterns of stability continue to support the prevailing low probability reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$153,940结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders see minimal risk of a coup attempt in China before 2027 because the Chinese Communist Party maintains centralized control through Xi Jinping’s leadership, with the People’s Liberation Army showing consistent loyalty and no evident factional splits. Extensive internal security measures, elite purges, and surveillance systems have suppressed organized opposition in recent years. No major leadership crises or military defections have surfaced in the past several months to alter this assessment. Extreme economic shocks or sudden health developments could theoretically create openings, yet institutional structures and historical patterns of stability continue to support the prevailing low probability reflected in current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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