Recent diplomatic efforts, including February 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva that produced a prisoner exchange and brief holiday ceasefires in April and May, have not advanced to sustained negotiations amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and neutrality. Russia has signaled openness to talks based on prior frameworks like Istanbul but insists on recognition of ground realities and Donbas control, while Ukraine and European partners emphasize verifiable ceasefires and post-war assurances. Kremlin statements in July noted no immediate prospects for resumption, with U.S. mediation capacity constrained by other priorities and Europe assuming a larger role. These persistent stalemates and limited de-escalation signals underpin trader assessments of the likelihood for substantive peace talks by late 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$319,244 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
25%
12月31日
61%
$319,244 交易量
9月30日
$154,761 交易量
25%
12月31日
$145,771 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic efforts, including February 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva that produced a prisoner exchange and brief holiday ceasefires in April and May, have not advanced to sustained negotiations amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and neutrality. Russia has signaled openness to talks based on prior frameworks like Istanbul but insists on recognition of ground realities and Donbas control, while Ukraine and European partners emphasize verifiable ceasefires and post-war assurances. Kremlin statements in July noted no immediate prospects for resumption, with U.S. mediation capacity constrained by other priorities and Europe assuming a larger role. These persistent stalemates and limited de-escalation signals underpin trader assessments of the likelihood for substantive peace talks by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
交易量
$319,244结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic efforts, including February 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva that produced a prisoner exchange and brief holiday ceasefires in April and May, have not advanced to sustained negotiations amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and neutrality. Russia has signaled openness to talks based on prior frameworks like Istanbul but insists on recognition of ground realities and Donbas control, while Ukraine and European partners emphasize verifiable ceasefires and post-war assurances. Kremlin statements in July noted no immediate prospects for resumption, with U.S. mediation capacity constrained by other priorities and Europe assuming a larger role. These persistent stalemates and limited de-escalation signals underpin trader assessments of the likelihood for substantive peace talks by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$319,244结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts, including February 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva that produced a prisoner exchange and brief holiday ceasefires in April and May, have not advanced to sustained negotiations amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and neutrality. Russia has signaled openness to talks based on prior frameworks like Istanbul but insists on recognition of ground realities and Donbas control, while Ukraine and European partners emphasize verifiable ceasefires and post-war assurances. Kremlin statements in July noted no immediate prospects for resumption, with U.S. mediation capacity constrained by other priorities and Europe assuming a larger role. These persistent stalemates and limited de-escalation signals underpin trader assessments of the likelihood for substantive peace talks by late 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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