Russia’s military remains heavily committed to its ongoing operations in Ukraine, with recent August 2026 exchanges including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian industrial sites and Russian missile attacks using North Korean systems inside Ukraine. No verified preparations, troop movements, or official statements indicate plans for a new conventional invasion of another state this year. Moscow’s defense priorities, resource constraints, and focus on consolidating gains in the existing conflict continue to shape trader assessments. Speculation about limited hybrid activity or future risks persists in analytical reports, yet the absence of concrete triggers or escalatory signals within the resolution window supports the strong market consensus against a new invasion occurring in 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$397,866 交易量
$397,866 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$397,866 交易量
$397,866 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s military remains heavily committed to its ongoing operations in Ukraine, with recent August 2026 exchanges including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian industrial sites and Russian missile attacks using North Korean systems inside Ukraine. No verified preparations, troop movements, or official statements indicate plans for a new conventional invasion of another state this year. Moscow’s defense priorities, resource constraints, and focus on consolidating gains in the existing conflict continue to shape trader assessments. Speculation about limited hybrid activity or future risks persists in analytical reports, yet the absence of concrete triggers or escalatory signals within the resolution window supports the strong market consensus against a new invasion occurring in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$397,866结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s military remains heavily committed to its ongoing operations in Ukraine, with recent August 2026 exchanges including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian industrial sites and Russian missile attacks using North Korean systems inside Ukraine. No verified preparations, troop movements, or official statements indicate plans for a new conventional invasion of another state this year. Moscow’s defense priorities, resource constraints, and focus on consolidating gains in the existing conflict continue to shape trader assessments. Speculation about limited hybrid activity or future risks persists in analytical reports, yet the absence of concrete triggers or escalatory signals within the resolution window supports the strong market consensus against a new invasion occurring in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$397,866结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s military remains heavily committed to its ongoing operations in Ukraine, with recent August 2026 exchanges including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian industrial sites and Russian missile attacks using North Korean systems inside Ukraine. No verified preparations, troop movements, or official statements indicate plans for a new conventional invasion of another state this year. Moscow’s defense priorities, resource constraints, and focus on consolidating gains in the existing conflict continue to shape trader assessments. Speculation about limited hybrid activity or future risks persists in analytical reports, yet the absence of concrete triggers or escalatory signals within the resolution window supports the strong market consensus against a new invasion occurring in 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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