Recent developments center on a preliminary US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached around June 15, 2026, to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and defer core nuclear issues to a 60-day negotiation window. US President Trump and Iranian officials have described the framework as electronically signed, with an in-person ceremony slated for Switzerland in the coming days. Pakistan has played the leading mediation role, alongside reported involvement from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey in earlier talks. Trader focus on additional signatories by June 30 reflects uncertainty over whether mediators or the Swiss hosts will formally join the document, alongside questions about the precise scope of any multi-party elements in the still-unreleased text. Resolution hinges on confirmation of participants at the upcoming signing and any last-minute expansions before the month-end cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于巴基斯坦
54%
卡塔尔
42%
埃及
21%
阿曼
19%
沙特阿拉伯
19%
土耳其
17%
黎巴嫩
12%
约旦
10%
科威特
7%
叙利亚
6%
以色列
2%
$6,322 交易量
巴基斯坦
54%
卡塔尔
42%
埃及
21%
阿曼
19%
沙特阿拉伯
19%
土耳其
17%
黎巴嫩
12%
约旦
10%
科威特
7%
叙利亚
6%
以色列
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on a preliminary US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached around June 15, 2026, to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and defer core nuclear issues to a 60-day negotiation window. US President Trump and Iranian officials have described the framework as electronically signed, with an in-person ceremony slated for Switzerland in the coming days. Pakistan has played the leading mediation role, alongside reported involvement from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey in earlier talks. Trader focus on additional signatories by June 30 reflects uncertainty over whether mediators or the Swiss hosts will formally join the document, alongside questions about the precise scope of any multi-party elements in the still-unreleased text. Resolution hinges on confirmation of participants at the upcoming signing and any last-minute expansions before the month-end cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题