The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
$158,550 交易量
2026-07-07
阿巴斯·阿拉格奇
69%
谢赫塔米姆·本·哈马德·阿勒萨尼
48%
谢赫巴兹·谢里夫
68%
Steve Witkoff
74%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
59%
阿卜杜拉二世国王
7%
米沙尔·艾哈迈德·贾比尔·萨巴赫
16%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
3%
马尔科·鲁比奥
5%
哈迈德·本·伊萨·阿勒哈利法
13%
穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒纳哈扬
13%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
1%
阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西
13%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
1%
皮特·海格塞斯
3%
雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安
11%
JD·万斯
85%
唐纳德·特朗普
21%
贾里德·库什纳
70%
埃隆·马斯克
1%
$158,550 交易量
阿巴斯·阿拉格奇
$14,800 交易量
69%
谢赫塔米姆·本·哈马德·阿勒萨尼
$5,790 交易量
48%
谢赫巴兹·谢里夫
$6,379 交易量
68%
Steve Witkoff
$6,462 交易量
74%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
$28,149 交易量
59%
阿卜杜拉二世国王
$11,787 交易量
7%
米沙尔·艾哈迈德·贾比尔·萨巴赫
$498 交易量
16%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
$1,789 交易量
3%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$4,210 交易量
5%
哈迈德·本·伊萨·阿勒哈利法
$1,572 交易量
13%
穆罕默德·本·扎耶德·阿勒纳哈扬
$655 交易量
13%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
$1,705 交易量
1%
阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·塞西
$577 交易量
13%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
$8,118 交易量
1%
皮特·海格塞斯
$3,609 交易量
3%
雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安
$997 交易量
11%
JD·万斯
$13,047 交易量
85%
唐纳德·特朗普
$35,623 交易量
21%
贾里德·库什纳
$11,995 交易量
70%
埃隆·马斯克
$970 交易量
1%
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$158,550结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$158,550结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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